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Here's a composite I made of the last six HRRR run helicity tracks stacked on top of each other... (Streaks suggest supercell potential) 

Up around the Red River, the signal is currently pretty consistent run to run for a potentially photogenic hailer.  The last run has a long tracking supercell signal from my front yard across Louisiana.  It's always a great feeling when you drive 8 hours to a dud and the event of the day happens two hours from your home. 

The NAM isn't that reassuring an 8 hour drive will even produce a storm near the Red River.

Regardless, the ultra-messy modes expected in the East Texas / Louisiana jungle is detouring me.  Definitely had my fill of that this year.   So I'm off to the Red River.  

I'll post updates here when I can, but you might not want to check back til around 6pm or so. 

Gotta Run! 



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David hoffman

Watched your live feed on utube, good job, many had hard time w signal, not sure if your battery made it lol I had get offline 4 bit

Melanie Metz

Thank you, David! I ended the stream at that point, since the chase was done. I'm glad the battery lasted that long! I'm also glad the stream was relatively good and didn't drop out. It is a little speedy having dual modems with separate carriers...so it better perform well! Lol. Thanks again!

David hoffman

Yahoo ! 2 funnel clouds yesterday here in Northern California, i tried getting out but in California, little hail and drivers panic and I-5 is chucky cheese bumper cars 🤓