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Good morning Patrons,

Heads or Tails? North or South? I’ve chosen the northern target for the better chasing terrain (Minus the MS River) and what appears attm to be higher chances of daytime storm initiation.

A warm front surging north across IO & IL appears to be a pretty good bet, but chasing warm fronts is not my comfort zone. Coming from the south usually aims you toward drylines and free warm sector plays.

For all those venturing out, best of luck! For those watching from home, any details posted on this thread are very helpful especially short, paraphrased data without links since I usually have white knuckles. Long detailed posts are great as well, after the chase ends when I can read about what crazy things went down… literally.

Have a safe day everyone!


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Wendy Jay

This outbreak's been kind of a bust so far. And that's not a bad thing.

Richard C

We are learning this evening that there is a layer of "convective inhibition* in the upper atmosphere that's preventing the storms from rising and gaining strength.. they need cold air to strengthen but apparently there is warm air aloft... The experts did say that low-level sheer was going to get crazy-strong later this evening so it's a complicated setup and tornadoes are still possible

Pecos Hank

Don’t think I got the tornados in Illinois. Hosed by Illinois River and too far away. But big pretty supercell. Just heard it hit a town..???

Wendy Jay

If it was the one we were all watching, it lifted just before it would have hit Pekin, which IIRC is a decent sized town.

terry thometz

Tornado Watch 0124. West AR, NE TX, E OK to MO line. 4:55 a.m.

terry thometz

Mesoscale Discussion: SUMMARY...Developing thunderstorms over far eastern OK and near the DFW Metroplex will likely intensify over the next 1-2 hours and pose at least an isolated threat for large hail and severe gusts.

terry thometz

Confirmed tornado Marble Hill MO today

terry thometz

Andy Hill says Chicago in 45 minutes.

Brenda

Wow! Now that would scare the cr*p out of anyone! Glad he’s okay!