Why the Air War in Ukraine is Different
On 24 February 2022 Russia escalated the war in Ukraine. With a direct attack on Kyiv, Russian troops advanced and the Russian Air Force (VKS) flew numerous missions to strike Ukrainian radar and air defense. While the attack stalled and was beaten back, the war dragged on to now a full year. Now locked in a stalemate in the air, both sides maintain a strategy of air denial. After 364 days, we have learned and unlearned much about the air war over Ukraine and will continue to draw lessons from it. Join Chris in his retrospective on an air war that has shattered many assumptions.
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- Sources -
Ben Barry, Russia’s War in Ukraine: What are the emerging military lessons?, p. 39 in Strategic Survey, IISS, January 2023.
Barry Posen, Russia’s Rebound How Moscow Has Partly Recovered From Its Military Setbacks, Foreign Affairs, 4 January 2023, available at https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia-rebound-moscow-recovered-military-setbacks
Jack Detsch, ‘Stay Down Low’: Ukraine Fears Formidable Russian Air Defenses in the Donbas, Foreign Policy, 2 May 2022, available at https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/02/ukraine-russia-donbas-air-defenses/
Justin Bronk, Nick Reynolds, Jack Waitling; The Russian Air War and Ukrainian Requirements for Air Defence, Royal United Services Institute, Special Report 7, November 2022.
Joe Skrebels, Video Game Footage Falsely Presented as Videos of Ukraine War, IGN, 25 February 2022.
Mark Cancian, Is the United States Running out of Weapons to Send to Ukraine?, CSIS, 16 September 2022, available at https://www.csis.org/analysis/united-states-running-out-weapons-send-ukraine
Mark Cancian, The Latest Aid Packages to Ukraine: New Systems, Trade-Offs, Mysteries, and the Long Game, CSIS, 26 August 2022, available at https://www.csis.org/analysis/latest-aid-packages-ukraine-new-systems-trade-offs-mysteries-and-long-game
Matthew Luxmoore, Blasts Rock Ukraine’s Cities as Russia Launches Two Waves of Missile Attacks, Wall Street Journal, 14 January 2023, available at https://www.wsj.com/articles/blasts-rock-ukraines-cities-in-morning-russian-missile-attacks-11673689664
Maximilian Bremer, In denail about denial: Why Ukraine’s air success should worry the west, War on the Rocks, 15 June 2022, available at https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/in-denial-about-denial-why-ukraines-air-success-should-worry-the-west/
Michael Stafanovic et al., The Somme in the Sky: Lessons From the Russo-Ukrainian Air War, War on the Rocks, 9 Feb 2023, available at https://warontherocks.com/2023/02/the-somme-in-the-sky-lessons-from-the-russo-ukrainian-air-war/
Mykhaylo Zabrodskyi, Jack Watling, Oleksandr V Danylyuk and Nick Reynolds, Preliminary Lessons in Conventional Warfighting from Russia’s 2022 Invasion of Ukraine, RUSI Special Report, November 2022.
Pavel Baev, Russia’s War in Ukraine: Misleading Doctrine, Misguided Strategy, Russie.Nei.Reports, No. 40, Ifri, October 2022, p. 14.
Reuters, NASAMS air defense system have 100% success rate in Ukraine- Pentagon chief, 16. Nov. 2022, available at https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/nasams-air-defense-system-have-100-success-rate-ukraine-pentagon-chief-2022-11-16/
- Timecodes -
00:00 - Russia's War in Ukraine
00:46 - 20sec intermission (Channel members)
01:06 - The War One Year On
01:41 - Phase 1: February 22
05:41 - Phase 2: March-April 22
09:32 - Phase 3: May-August 22
12:14 - Phase 4: September-December 22
15:14 - Phase 5: January-February 23
16:25 - The War and 'Fast Media'
- Audio -
Music and Sfx from Epidemic Sound