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Not every type of rain is the same: some types of rain are easier to predict than others. In this video, we show you two different types of rain - and why one of them is tricky to predict.

While narrating this video, a thought that Cameron had was: "The Denver airport is so big and surrounded by so much nothing, that it will often be sunny and hot in the summer, but flights will still get cancelled because of thunderstorms and tornadoes parked on top of the airport. Convective rain at its finest, I suppose?"

When we were talking about this video with the team, we found that we all have different thoughts about rain forecasts. I (Lizah) used to check a rain forecast app to plan out my bike rides in the Netherlands, those predictions were pretty good and I regularly managed a dry commute to work. 

Do you live somewhere where it always rains or do you find yourself looking at the forecast, hoping for some extra drops? Tell us more in the comments here, we love to hear it!

Thank you for being here with us - Lizah

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Why is Rain So Hard to Predict?

Find out how DeepMind is working to improve ""nowcasting""(https://www.deepmind.com/blog/nowcasting-the-next-hour-of-rain) and learn more about their scholarship program (https://www.deepmind.com/scholarships). There are two types of rain, and one of them is almost impossible to forecast. LEARN MORE ************** To learn more about this topic, start your googling with these keywords: Front: a boundary separating air masses of different characteristics, such as air density, wind, temperature, and humidity Frontal rainfall: occurs when a warm air mass comes in contact with a colder air mass Convectional rainfall: occurs when the sun's energy heats the surface of the Earth, causing water to evaporate to form water vapour Nowcasting: weather forecasting limited to periods less than a few hours " SUPPORT MINUTEEARTH ************************** If you like what we do, you can help us!: - Become our patron: https://patreon.com/MinuteEarth - Share this video with your friends and family - Leave us a comment (we read them!) CREDITS ********* David Goldenberg | Script Writer and Director Kate Yoshida | Director Cameron Duke | Narrator Arcadi Garcia i Ruis | Illustration, Video Editing and Animation Nathaniel Schroeder | Music MinuteEarth is produced by Neptune Studios LLC https://neptunestudios.info OUR STAFF ************ Lizah van der Aart • Sarah Berman • Cameron Duke Arcadi Garcia i Rius • David Goldenberg • Melissa Hayes Alex Reich • Henry Reich • Peter Reich Ever Salazar • Leonardo Souza • Kate Yoshida OUR LINKS ************ Youtube | https://youtube.com/MinuteEarth TikTok | https://tiktok.com/@minuteearth Twitter | https://twitter.com/MinuteEarth Instagram | https://instagram.com/minute_earth Facebook | https://facebook.com/Minuteearth Website | https://minuteearth.com Apple Podcasts| https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/minuteearth/id649211176 REFERENCES ************** Ravuri, S., Lenc, K., Willson, M. et al. (2021) Skilful precipitation nowcasting using deep generative models of radar. Nature 597, 672–677. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03854-z Simonin D, Pierce C, Roberts N, Ballard SP and Li Z (2017) Performance of Met Office hourly cycling NWP-based nowcasting for precipitation forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (708): 2862-2873. https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/qj.3136 Sun J, Xue M, Wilson JW, Zawadzki I, Ballard SP, Onvlee-Hooimeyer J, Joe P, Barker DM, Li P, Golding B, Xu M, & Pinto J (2014). Use of NWP for Nowcasting Convective Precipitation: Recent Progress and Challenges, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(3): 409-426. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/95/3/bams-d-11-00263.1.xml Weckwerth T, Parsons DB, Koch SE, Moore JA, Lemone MA, et al. (2004). An Overview of the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) and Some Preliminary Highlights. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society 85 (2): 253 - 277. https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01651324/file/bams-85-2-253.pdf Wilson, JW, & Roberts RD (2006). Summary of Convective Storm Initiation and Evolution during IHOP: Observational and Modeling Perspective, Monthly Weather Review, 134(1): 23-47. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/134/1/mwr3069.1.xml Ye H, Fetzer EJ, Wong S, and Lambrigtsen BH (2017). Rapid decadal convective precipitation increase over Eurasia during the last three decades of the 20th century. Science Advances 3: e1600944. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.1600944 ______________________________________________________________________________________ TAGS: weather, forecasting, rain, frontal, convection, convection, rainfall

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