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First things first! I (finally) launched this week's film room episode after a couple of major delays during production. Hurray for having an older, unreliable PC, I guess. Oh well, at least this is a good excuse to buy some parts as an early Christmas gift to myself and build a new one!

The good news is that I was still able to get this episode on the Buccaneers defense out "on time". The bad news is that I've been awake for roughly 22 hours straight now and I'm a wee bit delirious while I type this, so please forgive me for any typos in the DMs that I've been sending all of you this morning who are asking for fantasy advice.

Here are this week's picks against the spread as well. I apologize for not having time to do full writeups because I can feel myself about to pass out for a nap before kickoff as I sit in my desk chair, but rest assured that if any of you have any questions about why I picked certain teams or certain lines, I would be more than willing to answer in the comments below!

Thank you all again for your continued support. I hope you enjoy the show!


GAME PICK RECORD: 58-33-1

SPREAD PICK RECORD: 47-39-5 (51.6% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)


GIANTS @ EAGLES

GAME PICK: EAGLES

SPREAD PICK (from Thursday): EAGLES (-4.5)


BILLS @ JETS

GAME PICK: BILLS

SPREAD PICK: JETS (+10.5)


PANTHERS @ SAINTS

GAME PICK: SAINTS

SPREAD PICK: PANTHERS (+6.5)


BROWNS @ BENGALS

GAME PICK: BROWNS

SPREAD PICK: BROWNS (-3.5)


COWBOYS @ WASHINGTON

GAME PICK: WASHINGTON

SPREAD PICK: WASHINGTON (-1)


PACKERS @ TEXANS

GAME PICK: PACKERS

SPREAD PICK: PACKERS (-3.5)


LIONS @ FALCONS

GAME PICK: FALCONS

SPREAD PICK: FALCONS (-1.5)


STEELERS @ TITANS

GAME PICK: STEELERS

SPREAD PICK: STEELERS (+1)


BUCCANEERS @ RAIDERS

GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS

SPREAD PICK: RAIDERS (+5)


CHIEFS @ BRONCOS

GAME PICK: CHIEFS

SPREAD PICK: CHIEFS (-7)


JAGUARS @ CHARGERS

GAME PICK: CHARGERS

SPREAD PICK: JAGUARS (+7.5)


49ERS @ PATRIOTS

GAME PICK: 49ERS

SPREAD PICK: 49ERS (+3)


SEAHAWKS @ CARDINALS

GAME PICK: SEAHAWKS

SPREAD PICK: CARDINALS (+3.5)


BEARS @ RAMS

GAME PICK: BEARS

SPREAD PICK: BEARS (+6)


Files

Previews only

The Buccaneers laid the blueprint for beating Aaron Rodgers

Legally stream LIVE NFL games this season with Nord VPN! Get 68% off NordVPN (only $3.71/mo), plus get an extra month FREE at https://nordvpn.com/brettkollmann2 or with code “BrettKollmann2” at checkout! Also NEW FILM ROOM MERCH launched finally! -- https://www.brettkollmann.com/filmroommerch Here is the link to the greatest football analytics site ever - Sports Info Solutions. Their coverage and pressure data was a big part of this episode. Check them out! http://pro.sisdatahub.com/ Instagram: @brett_kollmann Twitter: @BrettKollmann One last thing, check out my podcast - The Bootleg Football Podcast! We are a whopping 31 episodes deep so far, and it can be found anywhere podcasts are distributed (Apple, Google, Spotify, Stitcher, Youtube, etc). BFP on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bootleg-football/id1501769114 BFP on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6w5GeninFTtBagyBXQklLq BFP on Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/bootleg-football BFP Youtube page: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWSxLqyVmZ2b8LDNMucX3uw

Comments

Anonymous

As a Bears fan, I remain skeptical of their ability to hang with the top tier teams. But I don't see the Rams as that, considering the Bears have limited Goff in their last two meetings, and the games have generally been dominated by defense and poor QB play. I agree with your Bears +6 pick, but I'm curious what you think are the reasons that the spread is so large in a fairly even matchup?

Anonymous

Don't let us down BRETT! :D

Brett Kollmann

Honestly I still don't know why the spread was that big. I suppose Vegas just had less faith in Nick Foles than I did, and you know...I guess they were right. Foles was awful, and the Bears' chance of winning that game went down with him.