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Week 17 Patron-Only Q&A (plus game picks!) (Patreon)

Published:
2021-01-03 16:23:59
Imported:
2026-06

Content

We are finally here! It’s week 17 - the craziest week of the regular season - and a whopping 13 of the 14 playoff teams/seeds are still unknown! The majority of games this week mean something to the various playoff races, which is great for us as fans because that means we get more entertaining games!


With the closing of the regular season, the solidifying of the first 20 picks in the draft order, and next week’s playoff matches all being decided today, I figured now is another great time for a Patron-Only Q&A session!


I’ll be on here all day answering any questions that you guys drop into this thread. Feel free to ask me about anything you want - schemes, teams, players, fantasy, gambling, whatever, and I will answer! Oh, and by the way, here are my picks for all 17 games being played today!


GAME PICK RECORD: 157-83-0

SPREAD PICK RECORD: 128-106-6 (54.7% win rate vs the spread so far. 55% is considered a top-tier hit rate, for reference)


VIKINGS @ LIONS

GAME PICK: VIKINGS

SPREAD PICK: VIKINGS (-4)


FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS

GAME PICK: BUCCANEERS

SPREAD PICK: BUCCANEERS (-7)


JETS @ PATRIOTS

GAME PICK: PATRIOTS

SPREAD PICK: PATRIOTS (-3)


DOLPHINS @ BILLS

GAME PICK: BILLS

SPREAD PICK: BILLS (-1)


STEELERS @ BROWNS

GAME PICK: BROWNS

SPREAD PICK: STEELERS (+9.5)


COWBOYS @ GIANTS

GAME PICK: COWBOYS

SPREAD PICK: COWBOYS (-1.5)


RAVENS @ BENGALS

GAME PICK: RAVENS

SPREAD PICK: BENGALS (+14)


JAGUARS @ COLTS

GAME PICK: COLTS

SPREAD PICK: JAGUARS (+14.5)


TITANS @ TEXANS

GAME PICK: TITANS

SPREAD PICK: TITANS (-7)


CARDINALS @ RAMS

GAME PICK: CARDINALS

SPREAD PICK: CARDINALS (-2.5)


SAINTS @ PANTHERS

GAME PICK: PANTHERS

SPREAD PICK: PANTHERS (+6)


PACKERS @ BEARS

GAME PICK: PACKERS

SPREAD PICK: PACKERS (-4.5)


CHARGERS @ CHIEFS

GAME PICK: CHARGERS

SPREAD PICK: CHIEFS (+5.5)


SEAHAWKS @ 49ERS

GAME PICK: SEAHAWKS

SPREAD PICK: 49ERS (+7)


RAIDERS @ BRONCOS

GAME PICK: RAIDERS

SPREAD PICK: RAIDERS (-2.5)


WASHINGTON @ EAGLES

GAME PICK: EAGLES

SPREAD PICK: EAGLES (+4)

Comments

Anonymous

Hi, Brett! I'm, having a discussion with some friends. Tape and analytics are important, but do you think tape is more important than analytics and do you think this is the way most people who work in NFL teams think that way? That tape is priority and analytics is a complement? And if you could endulge me here, some weeks ago you said you thought Reich was the Eagles secret sauce. But that did you mean you think he was more responsible for the Eagles offensive success than Doug?

Anonymous

Top 5-10 players to outperform or underperform their averages this weekend?

Brett Kollmann
>>50884207

I think analytics and numbers are great for generating questions, and film is great for answering them. The numbers can show trends and patterns that make us ask...why is that happening? And in the film, we get enough context for those numbers to explain why those patterns are happening. Both things work in harmony together, and the best analysts I think are the ones who embrace both sides of the coin - the numbers that teach us how to ask the right questions, and the film that answers them.