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The speed at which this moves can be stunning. Its less than a week to go from 20k confirmed coronavirus cases in US to over 100k. In reality there are probably a minimum of 1mn simply because not everyone is tested. Boris Johnson has now tested positive, after only 2 weeks ago telling people that the coronavirus was nothing to worry about and how he’d gone and shook hands with a load of people, some of them with the coronavirus.  ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n3NAx3tsy-k ) Donald Trump meanwhile is telling people that a vaccine will only be a few months and he wants the country to open back up for business in about a week. This simply is delusional. Even if you take into account that the US is taking aggressive steps to shut down the virus (which it arguably hasn’t done yet), it won’t even have peaked within 2 weeks. Ill put up another analysis on the voiceofthunder channel later today for those who are interested. Stay safe, and many thanks for your support in this difficult time!

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Mathematical model of Coronavirus spread in USA.

You can support this channel directly through patreon: https://patreon.com/Thunderf00t or at my amazon affiliate store: https://www.amazon.com/shop/thunderf00t or my other channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUrdmVprSahXaPKqr04VfgQ download link for excel file https://www.dropbox.com/transfer/AAAAAB6WPFhz4y4y3tV9hM5PbU1eBirAOGG8fq_Zk-sodVdkRradCNE

Comments

Anonymous

Nice info! So far, the US isn't taking the quarantine seriously; only a 1/3 have isolated.

Anonymous

The USA is now exceeding 100,000 from today. An alarming prediction. Consequences of not heeding the enormity and pertinence of isolation will be met with outcomes that most won't even recognise are tangible.

Anonymous

in Toronto, Canada most places are shut down, there are only a few people and cars, I bought gas *petrol for you, Brits* at 58 cents CAD per liter, haven't seen this since 1997 I think.

Jason Remington

@Thunderfoot What do you think the final US death toll will be, roughly, if the Us response can't impose marshall law?

Jeff Saffron

Thanks man, just keep up with great content.

Anonymous

Meanwhile in Florida: ChUrChEs ArE eSsEnTiAl!

Brinstar

You know what I would be interested in seeing? A comparison of the virus spread/response comparison between the USA and Canada. These two countries are very similar in the sense they are both on the North American continent, similar culture, similar city layouts, and many other similarities except in overall population size. Similar in density (country vs city). But the biggest one is that Canada has always valued medicare over everything else and has a pretty good medical system which Bernie Sanders would love... so... wonder how the two countries compare? I haven't been able to find a good video or anything looking at the data that compares the two. But a comparison would be REALLY interesting!

Anonymous

Hey, any chance you could repost the excel file? Seems the dropbox link no longer works