Coronavirus: Can it even be stopped? (Patreon)
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It looks like clickbait, but its not.
The first item on any media coverage of reopening the country after the coronavirus should be. 1) 99% of people still have no immunity to the virus, 2) the virus is still as contagious as it was. Sadly this is just not a point I’ve seen being made in the media.
After that its trivial to calculate approximately the minimum you have to reduce the spread rate to in order to avoid the virus from spreading. Sadly it turns out that if just one in six in your society doesn’t believe in social distancing, or handwashing etc, then you cannot contain the spread of the virus.
This means you have to get over 85% of your society to take this seriously -even when it looks like there is no virus around.
Maybe that’s possible…. But Im far from certain!
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