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 It looks like clickbait, but its not.

The first item on any media coverage of reopening the country after the coronavirus should be. 1) 99% of people still have no immunity to the virus, 2) the virus is still as contagious as it was. Sadly this is just not a point I’ve seen being made in the media.

After that its trivial to calculate approximately the minimum you have to reduce the spread rate to in order to avoid the virus from spreading. Sadly it turns out that if just one in six in your society doesn’t believe in social distancing, or handwashing etc, then you cannot contain the spread of the virus.

This means you have to get over 85% of your society to take this seriously -even when it looks like there is no virus around.

Maybe that’s possible…. But Im far from certain!

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Coronavirus: Can it even be stopped?

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Comments

Cameron Dokis

I think the thing is they already know it cant be. it will reach all the people it can reach. But, its about spreading out that flow of people it reaches across time. We have seen what happened to Spain, Italy and Iran when they did not. I think they already assume its not possible to stop it either.

Anonymous

It is simply impossible, that is one but secondly I disagree that government should have any authority on this. AFAIC the governments have proven themselves to be irresponsible just like the populations in general, which is not surprising, politicians come from the population and I think we get dumber and dumber politicians as well, so things are not done swiftly and correctly in the first place. We will not win against this virus but we will *also* lose our freedoms while losing to the virus. If we cannot win against the virus we at least should not give up our freedoms, looks like we will get the worst of both.

Anonymous

Thanks for this video. The importance of isolation is inclusive of everybody. The feeble and irrational prompts from the corporate mongers with their mouth-piece puppets to break the delicate isolation in return for minor gains is disheveling at best and catastrophically amplifying at worst. Subterfuge from the home team is the last thing that any country needs right now.

Anonymous

If you have time, could you address some of the concerns people have had with the video so far? For example, the idea of a "1.3 per day" spread rate - how was that figure determined? I thought that the R0 typically referred to the spread rate per case. Also, in the case of perfection isolation, would the 5/6 of people not have a spread rate lower than 1?

Anonymous

To get put on Google's do-not-index database has to be rough. I've seen plenty of much more offensive stuff than you can possibly create on YouTube. Think Flat Earth, Anti-Vax. You can still find a reference to that nonsense. I really appreciate the laughs (the BUSTED) and the cries (the covid videos) that I've had from your content.