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This one has taken a while but at last it is popping nicely.

I plan to hedge it by selling calls against my underlying bag when we get close to Level 6 or next Sell Flag on ATR

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reported its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings on August 19, 2024. Here are the key highlights:

Financial Performance

Palo Alto Networks delivered strong results for both the quarter and the full fiscal year:

  • Fiscal Q4 revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $2.2 billion.

  • Full fiscal year 2024 revenue increased 16% to $8.0 billion.

  • Next-Generation Security ARR saw significant growth, up 43% year-over-year to $4.2 billion.

  • Remaining performance obligation grew 20% year-over-year to $12.7 billion.

Earnings Per Share

For the fiscal fourth quarter:

  • GAAP net income was $357.7 million, or $1.01 per diluted share.

  • Non-GAAP net income was $522.2 million, or $1.51 per diluted share.

These results exceeded analysts' expectations, as the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter was $1.41.

Future Outlook

Palo Alto Networks provided guidance for fiscal Q1 2025 and the full fiscal year 2025:Fiscal Q1 2025:

  • Total revenue expected between $2.10 billion to $2.13 billion (12-13% year-over-year growth)

  • Diluted non-GAAP net income per share projected at $1.47 to $1.49

Fiscal Year 2025:

  • Total revenue forecasted between $9.10 billion to $9.15 billion (13-14% year-over-year growth)

  • Non-GAAP operating margin expected in the range of 27.5% to 28.0%

  • Diluted non-GAAP net income per share projected at $6.18 to $6.31

Strategic Developments

  • The company reported strong execution on its platformization strategy in Q4.

  • The board of directors authorized an additional $500 million for share repurchases, increasing the total authorization to $1 billion.

  • Palo Alto Networks is in the process of acquiring IBM's QRadar SaaS assets, which is factored into their guidance.

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Comments

Clark

Thanks to Nancy. What a generous gal, no?

Michael A

I don't think I've ever heard you mention this company James. I would love it if you would also mention what you think might be the next big thing. The next Tesla? The next Sol? I'm on the train with your four or five top picks. But it would be nice to get in at the ground floor with a new pick.

Don Christian

It was a Nancy Pelosi buy that James did a quick analysis and followed her into a trade from what I remember

Kat

Fantastic news ... I've held this stock since early April I think it could be a belter !

Chris

Nancy is never wrong when it comes to her stock picks.

CryptoKubera

James - I’m glad to see post on PANW and cybersecurity industry from you. I have a big bag of PANW and FTNT stocks. Anything you recommend to protect my bag?

SamK

So sell is at $380 price point?

Wicksley Snipes!

Interesting. Not familiar. Now I am. Thanks. Good times!

Elpilos

I never heard about this company 🤷

Yueh Fei

Thanks James, this has been on my radar since investing in to Sentinel @ $20.80 on the same day Crowdstrike dropped the Western world to it's knees. It was a choice between PANW and S. Earnings report gains for both companies will take a couple quarters to filter through as corps change deals from Crowdstrike to others. PANW and Crowd being the two big dog mansions on the street. The choice was driven by the old notion of worst house on the best street. Sentinel was just $6B of a 240B market. Crowdstrike market has dropped over 33B. While PANW may take more of that share, %market was similar to that of Crowdstrike circa 100B. Sentinel has a different AI based approach to security. Sentinel only needs a very small portion of that Crowdstrike $33B drop to be 2-3x value. Their quarter report prior to the incident, revenues were adjusted downwards which is why it was cheap at $20.80 in July. Since the incident in July, Sentinel is up 15%. Earnings report from Sentinel is due very soon on 28th Aug, we can expect some positive change in this regard. Can you please consider doing a review of both Sentinel and PANW? Maybe highlight why you chose PANW in light of others. Worth doing this week between PANW results and upcoming S results.

Tom

Pelosi trade is emptying off

Matt

here is my thoughts being in the industry and user of both products. CS is a quality product but it is expensive. Also S1 started offering discounts to users after the CS event. I am one of those customers that is potentially looking into moving from CS to S1 over the next few months. PANW offers more products and been around longer and likely harder to displace