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The Powell Pivot is Now Official

Markets are pumping.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has taken a decidedly dovish stance, a stark contrast to his position two years ago when he indicated the Fed might tolerate a recession to curb inflation. Here's a summary of his recent comments:

  • Labor Market Observations: Powell noted that there's a clear cooling in labor market conditions, suggesting that this sector is unlikely to fuel inflation in the near future.

  • Policy Adjustments: He emphasized that the Fed does not desire further labor market cooling and indicated that policy adjustments are on the horizon. The direction is set towards easing, with the specifics to be guided by economic data, outlook, and risk assessments.

  • Support for Employment: Powell committed to supporting a robust labor market while continuing efforts to stabilize prices, signaling a shift towards more accommodative monetary policy.


This shift reflects a broader acceptance within the Fed that the previous hawkish approach might not be necessary as inflation pressures ease, and the economy shows signs of stability without the need for drastic measures like inducing a recession.

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Comments

Dark Star

The Federal Rate cuts for at least .25% is already built into market prices. Larger cuts would be a different story.

Crypto Cruiser

Perhaps September will be an up month this time around!

NOT Michael Burry

Not complaining about the pivot, but I was hoping JP would say something about Firedancer.

Mbolorman

Thanks for the brilliant summary James.

Dagg

Hard to make correct decisions when the data is false.

lee

Mstr and mstx are on fire. Mstx very risky...got to have your hand on the switch with that one.

Wicksley Snipes!

Trend, momentum, macro/narrative. Probability, historical data, repeating patterns. Make it easier.

FWTX

A week at the beach and topped off by nice gains. Life is good....these days.

ImYurHcklbrry

Thank you James for your quick reporting of this pivot. It allowed me to add to my Solana long at 143ish.

CRYPTODGEN

So much for “data driven” eh Jerome? Everything you based your decisions on were worthless. You’re only good as the data your fed