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BTC Mean Reversion (Patreon)

Published:
2024-10-02 16:07:09
Imported:
2026-06
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Content

The mean reversion indicator for Bitcoin has triggered a buy signal at the $61,800 price level on the 4 hr.

This signal has demonstrated a historical accuracy rate of 87%.

h/t to Blazo for swiftly identifying this market development

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Comments

Chewie

Was going to buy more MSTR under 160 but it took off!

3324

Stocks are ok but when the shit hits the fan you can pop you’re BTC onto a ledger and just go live somewhere else, that’s why I love Bitcoin

Rufflife

Did the indicator flash a sell at 62,100?!! Flipping a coin has the same odds 🙄

the dude

Um good indicator on how to lose money. Mean post. No pun intended. 🤨

Jjj

Market is still dumping

Slapic

I don't know if the mean reversion model counts with swan events. It's good for normal market conditions. But what if Israel attacks Iran on Friday? Are you sure BTC won't dip below 60k? Running into the burning house works many times. But this time the house might explode. Hard to decide at the moment what is the acceptable level of risk. Just my two cents

Stockqueen
>>151193579

Ya I would not trade, esp with Bibi consoling with Putin in an emergency conference. They’ve always wanted to go after Iran.

Darren S

Mstr or bitcoin, What's best to buy

KL9561
>>151354135

More alpha with MSTR but also more risky...if something bad happens in the middle east it could spook markets pretty badly for a while. Since the vol is so high, options are a little too expensive for my taste. Plus we're half way through the bull market. If it were me and was had cash to allocate for my crypto bag I'd put 60% BTC/25% MSTR/15% SOL.