IA MSTR TSLA Pair Trade Breakdown - EXCLUSIVE Video (Patreon)
Content
Welcome, everyone, to today’s trade breakdown! In this video, we’re diving into an exciting pair trade involving Tesla and MicroStrategy. I’ll start by giving you a quick overview of the trade—where MicroStrategy shares were sold to fund a strategic move into Tesla options. Then, I’ll show you how to access historical trade alerts on Patreon for deeper insights. From there, we’ll break down the pair chart—dividing MicroStrategy’s price by Tesla’s to spot the opportunity. You’ll see the trade rationale: selling MicroStrategy to buy Tesla, leveraging a near 1:1 ratio, which we’ll explore historically with IA's goal of a 50% Tesla allocation.
Next, we get into the nitty-gritty. I’ll detail how selling 100 MicroStrategy shares fueled three synthetic longs on Tesla. We’ll cover the call option costs—a 280 strike for $10,200 per contract—and the risks of losing that premium. Then, we’ll flip to the put side, collecting $86 to offset costs, followed by the net calculation. Risks ramp up with the put’s obligation to buy shares at 280, leading to a $28,000 collateral requirement. We’ll tally the total risk per synthetic long at $38,200 in the worst case.
REMEMBER OPTIONS ARE DANGEROUS INSTRUMENTS UNLESS YOU KNOW WHAT YOU ARE DOING. THIS TRADE HAS HEAVY DOWNSIDE RISK IF TESLA GOES TO ZERO! My expectation is for TESLA to be close or above $600 a year from now. By mid 2027 we will be 4 digits but prob split again... 2 for 1 or 3 for 1 by then.
I am very heavily overweight MSTR and I have telegraphed my plan for many months now. This trade should have come as no surprise. What did surprise is the 3 for 1 ratio and use of SLs.
Finally, we’ll calculate the break-even point at 305, followed by a crucial reminder: only trade options if you know the risks. We’ll wrap up with the strategy’s benefits and why it’s so powerful. Stick around—this is a deep dive into pair trading and options you won’t want to miss!
Thanks, Jacob for the review.
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