IA Weekly Nuggets (Patreon)

Summary of InvestAnswer's Posts (thanks, Josh, for collecting)

• Bitcoin:

  • SBR:

  If the U.S. plans to buy 1 million BTC, IA will not sell all his MSTR but may keep a big chunk.

  MSTR:

  IA will not miss his chance to sell covered calls on MSTR this time. His goal is to layer out of 30 to 60% of the position depending on layers and prices.

• 70k:

Mathematically, if history repeats, we cannot fall below 70k. But we sure got close....

• Future Plans:

IA will retain some of his SOL, BTC and MSTR in the bear market. He will sell all of his miners and ALTS. He will then rebuild in the bear where billions are made once again.⁠

• Trading and Investing:

  • IA Tools:

  If you are a trader and use TA, the tools are a game changer in increasing your odds of winning. Many of the models are dreams IA had in the 90s when he first started modeling. Only now have they become possible with Python and sophisticated data modeling.

• MSTR: 

  • MSTR/TSLA:

  IA views his MSTR position as his deflationary currency to buy TSLA.

• Bear Market:

Billions are made in the bear. Latecomers buying late bull will always get hit. Hence layers, allocations, and loads. We need a catalyst to go up from here, IA doesn’t see any.

• Tesla:

  • S Curves:

  The stock enjoys an unrivaled advantage across numerous domains, perfectly positioned at the convergence of multiple S-curves. No other company boasts such a formidable combination of cash reserves and a leading role in this revolution—the most significant industrial transformation humanity and the world have ever witnessed. While it’s challenging for many to grasp fully, I’m more convinced than ever that Tesla offers the most compelling risk-reward opportunity for the next three to five years. ⁠

  • Reward:

  We will be rewarded in TSLA in an extreme way over the next 2-3 years. Few are ready. Every data point shows it. ⁠

  • MSTR Swap:

  IA sold 1/40th of his MSTR bag to buy TSLA. For every 100 shares, IA grabbed 3 synthetic longs. IA plans to do more at 1.17. ⁠

  • TSLA Bags:

  IA’s TSLA bags are growing fast in MSTR terms but he has only moved 9% so far since Dec 2024. ⁠

  • Megapack:

  Tesla’s megapack business alone is a multitrillion business.

• Macro:

  • Rate Cuts:

  3 rate cuts are back on the board for 2025.

• Portfolio Goals:

IA may keep 30-60% of his MSTR, but the primary goal is to get to 50% TSLA. He is taking advantage of the global Elon and Trump Derangement Syndrome, and hopes it keeps TSLA price down for the last stage of the BTC bull run thru circa SEP OCT 2025.

• Bear Market:

Tesla is in a bear market. It is the same price as it was in Dec 2020. Except this time we are weeks away from absolutely revolutionary launches of autonomous technology. ⁠

• Wedbush:

Wedbush maintains a $550 price target for TSLA. $650 Bull Target! Morgan Stanley $800. ⁠

• Cybercab:

Odds are high the cybercab will launch by June, and the stock should be well over $300. ⁠

• 12 Month Target:

IA isn’t sure if TSLA drops much further. IA can’t risk NOT buying at 2020 prices so he layers in in ever increasing sizes, and believes TSLA goes to $600 in 12 months and maybe more.

• 5 Year Investment:

If you have a 3 to 5 year window, you know what to buy.

• MSTR/TSLA:

If MSTR hits 1.3 to 1.5 to TSLA, IA is selling a large chunk of it. He repeats MSTR is his currency as it is his largest holding. This will be his Rotation of the Decade.

• TSLA vs SOL:

IA was focused on TSLA over SOL on 3/10. Watching the models to find the bottom. ⁠

• 2026 Play:

TSLA will be back later this year; this is a gift. We are playing the 2026 and 2027 game.⁠

• Rate Cuts:

97% chance Fed will not cut rates in March according to polymarket.