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Q top of people's minds today.... I thought I would analyze exactly how.

Net net, when the Govt reports we are in a recession Bitcoin either goes up straight away or within a month.

Check the chart. This is BTC vs the IA Macro Model. Under the red line signifies recession.

3 reasons why BTC fairs well in a Recession:

  • Bitcoin is a hedge against currency devaluation or banking crisis

  • BTC is resistant to inflation caused by excessive money printing—a common response by governments during economic downturns

  • During economic uncertainty, some view Bitcoin as a "digital gold"—a store of value that can protect wealth. If stocks and other traditional investments falter, investors might diversify into Bitcoin, boosting its price as demand rises.

Chart w/o my annotations

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Gandolf the White

This looks good on the monthly chart a daily chart with candles would probably show a much different tale before it goes up it comes down like all assets it just rebounds faster.

Gandolf the White

You are correct and 2026 recession will line up exactly with the 4 year cycle repeating. Where will it stop most likely 40k. People will say it won't go that low just like last time it's never going below 45k, 35k, 20k and the boom 15.5k.