Home Creators Posts Import Register Favorites Logout
haven't archived this post yet. have a subscription? use the importer!

Content

Live at 1:25pm Pacific: https://youtube.com/live/ToQa1ul7rro

Files

Previews only

Is BITCOIN desperately undervalued?

#Bitcoin $ETH $SOL $TSLA #Macro #Onchain #ETFs 👋 JOIN THE FAMILY: http://www.patreon.com/investanswers 📈 IA MODELS: http://www.investanswers.io 🧠 FREE INVESTOR PROFILER QUIZ: https://investor-profiler.investanswers.io 📬 IA NEWSLETTER: https://investanswers.substack.com 🪙 IA CRYPTO COMPENDIUM: http://investanswers.io/crypto-compendium ⚙️ IA SCP Profiler: http://investanswers.io/scp-profiler 🌐 TradingView Referral: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=27663 DISCLAIMER: InvestAnswers does not provide financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. None of the content on the InvestAnswers channels is financial, investment, tax, or legal advice and should not be taken as such; the content is intended only for educational and entertainment purposes. InvestAnswers (James) shares some of his trades as learning examples but they are only relevant to his specific portfolio allocation, risk tolerance & financial expertise, may not constitute a comprehensive or complete discussion of such topics, and should not be emulated. The content of this video is solely the opinion(s) of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading equities or cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. Kindly use your judgment and do your own research at all times. You are solely responsible for your own financial, investing, and trading decisions.

Comments

Paul O

Stuff I track to share whit da community, detach yoself from emotion and all the bs noise out there and focus on the data!!!! for BTC 2025 The Probabilistic Scenarios: BTC > $100K in 2025 ~60% Needs continued liquidity & institutional flow. BTC retrace < $65K ~25% If macro volatility spikes or Fed tightens again. BTC range-bound $80K–$90K ~15% Consolidation before final leg. Final Takeaway You're not early, you're not late — you're in the zone. Keep a framework that is data-rich and emotionally independent, social media is whacked, opinions vary like $10k to $500k do your own research. At a bare minimum it will give you edge over the crowd. the metrics which I update weekly S&P 500 $5580 Still near all-time highs = risk-on backdrop (stocks holding up). VIX (Volatility Index) 21.65 Slightly elevated → uncertainty / mild caution. No panic. 10Y Treasury Yield 4.239% High yields = tightening pressure. Liquidity still constrained. Credit Spread 3.27% No credit panic. Junk bond market calm. Risk appetite intact. M2 YoY Growth +3.9% Liquidity returning — net expansion from troughs = supportive for risk assets. Fed SOMA Holdings -0.225% Still mild QT (Quantitative Tightening), but slowing. Reverse Repo Balance $286.6B Near lows → capital is re-entering the system (bullish liquidity signal). TGA (Treasury General Account) $316B Slightly elevated = mild liquidity drain. Not extreme. Global CB Balance Sheet % -9% YoY Still contracting. Net liquidity globally not fully reflating yet. Gold Price $3118 Risk hedge being bought → reflects macro hedging (inflation + geopolitical). USD (DXY) $104.01 Firm dollar = tight financial conditions globally. A Composite Liquidity Outlook ✅ Mild Liquidity Rebound: M2 + RRP Drain + Easing SOMA = net positive drift Macro Weight 0.5 = Good balance of macro & micro 💧Conclusion: Liquidity is returning, but not yet in full QE-style expansion mode. Still favorable for BTC in the medium term. Bitcoin Cycle & On-Chain Signals MVRV Z-Score 1.94🟢 Normal Nowhere near overheated (>7 = top). Lots of room for upside. Puell Multiple 1.11 🟢 Normal Not in a miner capitulation or euphoric zone. Stable growth zone. SOPR 1.013 🟢 Normal Profits are being taken but not euphoric → healthy distribution. NUPL 0.499 🟢 Normal Early optimism, not excessive greed yet. Room to grow. Dormancy Flow <5 🟢 Low Older coins not moving = strong holder conviction. Supply Adj. CDD 0.66 🟢 Low No major long-term sell pressure (yet). BTC Market Structure Cycle Score: 1/7 MSBs (Market Structure Breaks): Light resistance overhead ($88K–$92K) MSS (Support): Strong base at $60K–$64K 🧭 We are mid-cycle: not at the euphoric peak, but no longer in stealth or accumulation either. This fits with historic pre-halving-to-post-halving ramp phases.

Bitman

James, you adjusted your historical sandbag slightly in this video from what was 128k to now 115-120.. 128 is better! 😉