Weekly Nuggets (March 24-27, 2025) (Patreon)

Summary of my comments (thanks Josh, for collecting)

• Tesla:

  • Robots:

  Shay Boloor believes the leaders in robotics are TSLA, NVDA, ISRG, and AMZN. ⁠

  • $220:

  IA received many toxic comments for buying TSLA stock at $220. However, it was his biggest one-day deployment, i.e., purchase buy since March 2020. His goal remains to get to 50% Tesla by year-end 2025! MSTR is his currency to do that.

  • Model Y Inventory:

  Model y Inventory is now sold out in 42 states across the U.S. despite the unrest and rumors are circulating it is funded by someone called Reid Hoffman. ⁠

  • Buying on Margin:

  When you buy TSLA on margin and it goes back up to $480, your margin explodes and is why IA has many multiples of margin vs his cash. If you borrow 50% on margin and buy 100 shares, and the stock rises to $480, your equity is now $48k and your margin is only $11,250. ⁠

  • HODL:

  Tesla is a five-year HODL, maybe forever. IA will still continue to sell Calls on big Mean Reversion spikes - 2SD + ⁠

  • Market Cap:

  A Q was asked will TSLA hit 30T MC? IA Says TSLA will hit a $10T market cap over the next 5 years, 30T is a stretch, but possible. ⁠tesla⁠

  • Understanding TSLA:

  Very few people truly understand both TSLA and BTC at a deep level. According to IA, only two names come to mind: Cern Basher and himself. Add MSTR to the mix, and it’s just IA — though Cern is quickly catching up on MSTR but pushing him on it since Early 2024.

• tesla⁠

  • Cybercab:

  Tesla Cybercab is scheduled to launch in Texas in June 2025. ⁠ This got confirmed this week.

  • Tariffs:

  Trump’s tariffs on foreign automakers is good for TSLA. Everyone else, not so much.

• 

  • New Lows?:

  $220 was the glorious bottom. TSLA has too many tailwinds

  - Optimus: Top humanoid robot, 5K in 2025, 50K sales 2026.

  - Cybercab: Robotaxi Launches in less than 12 weeks and scales up to 1M units per year in 2026.

  - Vision: AI & robotics for global abundance.

  - Autonomy: Unsupervised FSD rolling out worldwide - Tesla pivots from car maker to SAAS company

  Already leader in Energy Storage....

• Trading and Investing:

  • Rotation Model:

  IA is getting closer on the rotation model, no promises, but if the team can crack it could will be an infinite money machine. ⁠We got it working for 2 assets but vision is 5 assets you can rotate and choose yourself as well as target your plan bag size.

• MSTR/TSLA:

• Rotation model will help with things like swapping MSTR/TSLA as it is complex. Right now much is done manually looking at confluence among many indicators and 3 charts to confirm a strike zone. He had his biggest swap of MSTR to TSLA yet over the last week.

• The best tool to trade MSTR/TSLA is IADSS. ATR works if you have a longer time horizon. ⁠mstr-and-proxies⁠

• New Portfolio:

If IA was starting fresh and wanted to diversify his holdings he would look at MSTR at $250, TSLA under $250, perhaps some TTD. NVDA is close to a top at $150 and he likes things that can double or triple. Despite the armageddon right now, TSLA remains the best risk reward of any asset he can find. Thru year end NVDA can go from 120 to 150, and TSLA can go from 250 to 500 in the same timeframe. Will BTC double... not from here.. very unlikely out to year end 2025.

Macro: 

• Tariffs:

Tariffs are overblown; They will interrupt supply chains, rattle markets, and spook CPI forecasts for now, but in the medium to long term, it is a great boon for the US Economy. Just look how much has been onshored over the last 7 weeks - $3 TRILLION