Weekly Recap (Mar 31-Apr 4, '25) - EXCLUSIVE Video (Patreon)

Thanks, Jacob, for breaking down the markets this week.

Here are the top ten TA Takeaways

1. Tesla Rejected at 200-Day MA

• Key Level: 200-day moving average (red line) continues to act as resistance.

• Concern: Recent higher low broke down, threatening a lower low into the $180s.

• Must-Hold Level: $217–$220 support must hold to avoid deeper correction.

2. Potential Tesla Death Cross Forming

• 50-day (green line) is declining and nearing a cross below the 200-day.

• A death cross would signal more downside risk, although much damage is already priced in.

• In reality however, Death Cross work only half the time so don't sweat it.

3. Tesla ATR Model Flagging Trouble

• Currently at ATR level 3 support — if lost, level 2 is the next downside target.

• Trend model on the 4-hour chart flipped orange, confirming short-term downtrend.

4. MicroStrategy Maintaining Bullish Structure

• Higher high and higher low structure still intact.

• Held up well despite macro news, suggesting strong relative strength.

5. MicroStrategy Price Targets

• Support: ATR level 3 continues to hold.

• Upside targets: $335 and $415.

• Downside risk: Potential revisit to $207 if breakdown occurs.

6. MicroStrategy in ARB Cloud (Daily & 4hr)

• In the middle of the ARB cloud on daily.

• Quick wick outside on 4hr offered a sharp intraday opportunity.

• Trend model turned orange but could flip back amid choppy structure.

7. MicroStrategy vs Tesla Pair Chart Blowout

• MSTR/TSLA ratio spiked 16% on the day.

• Great swap trade if caught near 1.25–1.3; still monitoring for further rotation opportunities if Tesla dips.

8. Bitcoin Holding Strong Against Macro Pain

• S&P down 11% in 2 days — but Bitcoin holds firm.

• Still battling the 200-day MA and holding ATR level 5.

• Needs breakout above $87K–$88K to confirm new uptrend.

9. Bitcoin Tabby Model Staying Neutral

• No color change yet — still in the yellow band.

• Watch for eventual progression into orange and dark red as potential signal of an uptrend brewing.

10. Solana Bounces Off Critical ATR Level

• Strong 5% day despite market weakness.

• Wicked into ATR level 2 / $112 — key support held.

• Needs to break above $147 (ATR level 3) to resume upward momentum.

• Resistance awaits at ATR level 4 + 200-day MA.