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Note table above is not mine, it is from X... but it is good for illustration

TLDR

Nav Prem at 1.00 could mean stock price of $12. So that is the floor unless BTC goes to $50K.

Rem this

  • SPAC ($CEP): A "blank check" company with no business of its own. It raises cash (here, $100M) to buy a real company (like $XXI). Think of it as a pool of money waiting to be spent on a business you can invest in.

  • Redemption: If you own $CEP shares, you can say "no thanks" to the merger and get their min per share back in cash. It’s like a refund option that limits your losses.

  • PIPE: Big investors (like institutions) who privately buy shares in the deal at a set price. They’re like VIPs getting a special deal.

  • New Ticker ($XXI): The final company after $CEP and $XXI merge. This is what you own shares in if you stay in the deal. We are still very early day 2.

  • BTC: Bitcoin. This deal involves 42,000 Bitcoins, which is a big part of why people are excited. However I see the CEP stock getting diluted 10 to 1 at least in order to pull this 42K over... rem Market Cap now is only $400M

  • mNAV (Multiple of Net Asset Value): A way to measure if $CEP’s stock price is cheap or expensive compared to the Bitcoin and cash it will own. Formula:

    • mNAV = (Market Cap of $CEP) / (Value of Bitcoin and assets it will hold).

    • Example: If $CEP’s stock is $20 and the Bitcoin it owns is worth $10 per share, mNAV = 2 (paying 2x the asset value).

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Comments

MrPresident

Thought to bring CEP for discussion again. At a current price of $44, the NAV from the table is about 4. That's way too high, but the price is not budging to stay reasonable. I don't understand yesterday's big jump, and I keep biting my fingers for selling at $33. Do we go back in, or watch the party from outside?

MrPresident

Posts on X and market commentary suggest that $CEP experienced a short squeeze, where high short interest and a tightly held float (approximately 10 million shares) forced short sellers to cover their positions at higher prices. Borrowing rates for $CEP shares spiked, and inventory for shorting became scarce, making it costly and difficult for short sellers to maintain their positions. This was compounded by lower trading volume (less than 10% of previous days), which increased price volatility when buying occurred. X posts noted that the stock’s rapid rise from under $5 to over $40 in a few days, with a 15%+ gain on April 30 despite a broader market downturn, was partly due to short sellers being “in a tough spot.”

Dr. RAM

Sold all my cep at $33 and $34. Flipped it all into ASST. James moved his bag, best to follow. 😉🙏🏾 thank you James. .