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A friend of mine is a brain surgeon and she spent 22 years working and studying to get to that position. She now earns north of $550K per year but it took 22 years to get to that level!

Now Robots and AI enter the fray. Robots excel in tasks requiring extreme precision, such as Neuralink’s electrode insertion, which Musk notes is impossible for humans due to the required speed and accuracy.

Elon Musk (@elonmusk) Robots will surpass good human surgeons within a few years and the best human surgeons within ~5 years. ︀︀ ︀︀@Neuralink had to use a robot for the brain-computer electrode insertion, as it was impossible for a human to achieve the required speed and precision.

Improved Surgical Outcomes:

Medtronic's Hugo robot demonstrated exceptional performance in 137 surgeries, with complication rates significantly lower than historical benchmarks (3.7% for prostate, 1.9% for kidney, and 17.9% for bladder surgeries). The 98.5% success rate far exceeded the 85% target, indicating robots can achieve high precision and reliability.

Robots like Hugo, and Neuralink’s robotic system for brain-computer interface implantation, can perform tasks with speed and accuracy unattainable by human surgeons, potentially reducing errors and improving patient outcomes.

From Kal

THE FUTURE

Fully replacing all surgeons within five years is improbable due to technological, regulatory, and human factors. Instead, robots will likely become indispensable tools for certain run of the mill surgeries, enhancing surgical capabilities while human surgeons retain critical roles in decision-making and patient care.

Could be wrong, we are not sure what is coming - but I can tell you it is coming fast.

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DirtyStitches

Robotic General surgeon here. In my opinion at least for abdominal surgery, autonomous robotic surgery is still a really long way out. Much more than 5 years. It likely would be easier for parts of ortho and neurosurgery to be replaced first.

GasMan2024

Just to clarify, these Da Vinci and Medtronic robots are NOT autonomous, however they greatly enhance the surgeons own skill sets. But I’m sure they will be in 5-10 years. I work with them daily.