IA Weekly Nuggets (May 15-21, 2025) (Patreon)

Thanks, Josh, for collecting.

Bitcoin:

• Treasuries:,

You have to look at the insane treasury flows, it gives IA huge confidence in BTC future price and a new ATH in 2025.

• Buying More:,

IA is done with buying crypto this cycle. Next phase is to sell/hedge or short. He is still open to perping BTC and SOL using the indicators

• BTC Treasury Companies:,

IA would advise to stay away from most BTC treasuries or BTC dividend products in the bear market. ⁠

• MSTY vs MSTR:,

MSTY is down 6% while MSTR is up 40% in the same time. It is equivalent to the dividends paid YTD except you get taxed on them. Best to only consider these offerings in tax free accounts.

• CEP:,

IA’s CEP position is now a large 6 digit position. ⁠

• MTPLF:,

IA believes the NAV premium on metaplanet is stupid, the same story as always. IA has his rules and this is why he spends so much time tracking nav premiums.⁠

Tesla:

• $340:,

340 SLs is not a bad snag here, perhaps look at December 2027.

• Gary Black:,

Gary Black, who is one of the worst performing fund managers, is out ridiculing TSLA investors by labeling them as “TSLA faithful”. These faithful significantly outperform Gary who is just a tool for MSM. Gary also sold the bottom so he is suffering from from IA calls sellers remorse. ⁠

• Cybercab Fleet:,

95% of the CC fleet will be parked at night when there is little people transportation demand. During load CC usage, optimus can load parcels into CCs and deliver parcels to doorsteps where parcel theft is a problem. This dual use case for CC would make Tesla ride hailing network even more competitive. The cost advantage of nighttime deliveries would also reduce day time traffic. Elon Musk agrees.

Cybercab will not be just used for commercial use. You will be able to purchase one yourself for around 30k. With unsupervised FSD you will be able to sleep, work, watch movies, or even play games as the car is driving to your destination. FSD will spawn a new appreciation for transportation. ⁠

• Violence against TSLA:,

Musk is coming for those who organized violence and death threats against TSLA. In other good news, the violence has piped down significantly to almost zero. As we said, this too shall pass. ⁠

• $300:,

Tradfi are beginning to whip out their calculators and see what TSLA is. IA is not sure we will ever see SUB $300 TSLA prices ever again unless we get some type of gray or black swan. Put it this way; if we see $300 IA will throw a lot at his options. ⁠

• Hedge Funds:,

Hedge Funds are stacking TSLA hard, and chasing us retail leap stackers. ⁠

• BTC Risk/TSLA:,

Based on IA’s analysis, BTC carries significant risk. Recent events showed how a small group of developers could potentially destabilize the entire blockchain. It is a long shot, but alarming nonetheless. IA is monitoring very closely, but he knows ROI from TSLA will be higher unless the US Govt decides to buy 1M BTC. Without the US Govt buying 1M BTC The ROI from AI is most probably far higher.

• Buying Leaps Today:,

It depends on the VIX. We need a period of low volatility or a big dip. Low 330s for a 2027 would be okay, but if it gets close to the cost of margin, then skip it and buy stock. ⁠

• Bot disruption:,

We will not be able to recognize the world in 3 to 5 years. Never mind 10 years and that also goes for FIAT currency. Right now TSLA make 1,000 bots a month. In 6 months, they will make 10k bots a month. In 2 years possibly 100k a month. ⁠Elon is now focused on expanding US GDP to save the country by focusing on BOTS.

Trading and Investing:

• Rotation Model:,

IA and the team have been working hard on the rotation model over the last 10 months, and the product is complete. IA will showcase it to the patreon community next week. It is by far the most complicated model we have ever built, but also the most powerful. ⁠

• Middle East:,

IA suspects the middle east is stacking BTC, NVDA, and TSLA.

• PTOS on SOL3:,

There is a very strong win rate on the daily when trading SOL3X Long and SOL3X Short. ⁠

• DCAS:,

After big pumps, DCAS prevents you from chasing. It waits for slight mean reversion e.g. red candles and lowers your normal buy sizes. Here are IA’s settings.

• Understanding Disruption:,

1 in 500 understand BTC. Of that 1 in 500, only 1 in 50 understand MSTR. Now of those 1 in 50, only another 1 in 50 understand BTC, MSTR, and TSLA. ⁠

• Jim Chanos:,

Jim Chanos has been wrecked by shorting TSLA for a decade. He is now shorting MSTR. Meanwhile, BTC is ripping on rumors of a U.S. strategic BTC reserve backed by a gold revaluation.

• Mike Investing:,

IA shares a post from Mike Investing on X that provides a potential future path for TSLA stock. Notably, a v shape recovery and a push to above $600 by 2026. ⁠⁠

• Infinite money glitch:,

Once they nail the robotaxi model, they can copy and paste and make infinite cars. No one will have to buy cars any more. Each car will make 50k a year, and only cost 15-25k to make.

Solana:

• SOL Pop:,

IA believes SOL will pop by November or earlier. It simply makes too much money. For now, sit tight. ⁠