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Lots of issues from last week in Crypto

Regulatory Side, Alt Side, ETH Side etc

Bring your Q's and wil org an agenda around the top issues

And of course there is lots of weird froth like this....

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Comments

Corey

What do you think about the stock market…is it about to crash 35% in your opinion…should we sell telsa now and buy the dip?

RST

Take Care BOJ and JP 30.07.🤓

GIA SMSF

My question for the DCA team: To maximize the rotation from MSTR to Tesla is it better to make investments into TSLL to maximize any rise in Tesla enabling me to leave proportionally more in MSTR?

Kirby Ai

Hi, here's a crypto/AI question: NVIDIA's market cap dwarfs energy sector companies' combined market cap. Since AI requires chips and energy, energy company valuations seem misaligned. Despite the Trump administration's impact on solar, China's adding ~70 nuclear facilities' worth of energy quarterly. What are your thoughts on this valuation imbalance and which companies are worth investing in? Thanks

Chop Sui

Hi James and team, as tokenization of stocks is the future , do you think you would ever be able to create your own IA ETF so people can invest?

highdemand

this is from James Hickman - would like your opinion on it sir: Strategy describes itself as a “Bitcoin Treasury company”, which is to say that their primary business is to own Bitcoin, 580,955 to be exact, worth $61.5 billion at current price. Yet Strategy’s enterprise value is $118+ billion, or nearly TWICE the value of its Bitcoin. Technically, they are a software business, however, in their own Q1 update (92 pages), they only had 1 slide devoted to its software business, which is not profitable. If you read the fineprint, you’ll see that Strategy’s “cloud-based, AI-powered” software loses LOTS of money. So it is clear that they are a bitcoin company. And if they’re not talking about Bitcoin, they’re talking about how much money they’re going to raise… to buy more Bitcoin. Strategy’s current plan calls for a whopping $42 billion in new capital. Half of this $42 billion will be raised by indebting the company more, and the other half by diluting existing shareholders. Management’s ultimate goal is to increase the average number of ‘Bitcoin per share’ that the company holds. That’s not unreasonable. But for this to happen, there are a number of things that have to go right-- from cybersecurity to crypto markets-- nearly all of which are beyond their control. They assume, for example, that the Bitcoin price will appreciate by 30% per year. And several of their charts project how high Strategy’s stock price will go in various scenarios. They show graphs with lines that start from the bottom left and soar to the top right, and there seems to be no credible way in which investors could lose money. Then they polish it all off with made-up metrics like “Bitcoin Yield”, “Bitcoin Multiple”, “BTC $ Income”, and my personal favorite, “Bitcoin Torque”. For example, they humbly admit that “BTC $ Income is not equivalent to ‘income’ in the traditional financial context.” In other words, it’s not income. But they’re calling it income anyway. So… based on its stock price, Strategy is worth $118+ billion. Yet its BTC holding are worth $61.5 billion. So, those who buy MSTR for BTC exposure are overpaying by 2x. Buying Strategy stock is the equivalent of paying $210,000 for Bitcoin today. They track this metric on their website and call it “mNAV”, i.e. the multiple by which investors overpay for the company’s Bitcoin. And they claim the 2x mNAV is justified because of their stock’s volatility (attracts traders) or that their “brand recognition and scale drive superior investor interest.” Some of their models assume that this mNAV will INCREASE to 3x! But the bottom line is that there’s most likely a lot more upside to own Bitcoin directly. And the hard truth is that if you can’t figure out how to own Bitcoin directly, you probably shouldn’t bother buying Bitcoin to begin with… let alone paying twice the price for it.

BL1

Sell/layer out target for SOL?

Don Catorce

Hi James! Can you please adress tokanized stocks, like tesla on Solana? Is that equivalent to stocks, is it safe? Thanks a lot for your work!

Dave's ESL Writing

What is the best strategy for paying back after you borrow against your bitcoin?

G$

James, do you think we are better off to convert shares of MSTR into IBIT? We will get 1.7 to 2 times the bitcoin in IBIT, or do you think that MSTR will continue to outperform? Seems that in the bear, it is a safer strategy?