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NFA Disclaimer: The information provided in this trade alert is for educational and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. The author is not a financial advisor and is only sharing their personal trading activities in full transparency. The opinions expressed in this alert are the author's own and do not reflect the views of any other individual or organization. Investing in cryptocurrencies and other financial instruments involves a high degree of risk, and you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from the use of the information provided in this alert. 

Hi Team

As you know I tried for nearly a day to SHORT CIRCLE at $270sh and could not get a fill

Well now at $150 it looks like it bottomed. In addition at this level it is fairly priced for 2 reasons

1) it mints money

2) rev and earnings growth are on fire and VERY bullish for next 3 years

3) Stablecoins are going to explode under the genius act

4) most of USDC is now minted on SOLANA

5) IADSS on the 4 HR was golden so far... this will become a 3 legged stool. Stock was abour $156 at the time. OT about to turn up... a buy signal flashing on 4 hr - MR also bottomed

6) Fair Value $140

MY TRADE

I did another SL - for a $3 to $4 net debit, I bought the $150 LEAPS and sold the $140 Puts

My breakeven on the trade is about $153.50 - the PUTS WERE OUTRAGEOUSLY EXPENSIVE so I sold them :D I love finding option pricing in efficiencies - LEAPS were quite cheap.

FINAL NOTE

Stablecoin market cap going straight up - up 10% in 77 Days...

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Comments

NOT Michael Burry

Reminder to self on IA Trade Alerts: Careful with FOMO'ing in. If you do, remember: (1) Market pricing moves fast - you might not get the same fill as IA; (2) Allocations matter - consider position size in context of your overall portfolio and goals; (3) Set limits correctly and double check (or triple check) order setup before submitting. NFA! PS. I was possibly acceptable on item (1), but messed up a bit with item (3) today. Nothing catastrophic, though. Still beyond grateful for everything acheived with IA community and resources.

Theresa

My limit order for 150 hit earlier today & now I see this 😂

Chuck R

Thanks for the update James!

MrPresident

Quesiton: Do I need to have CRCL shares in my account for a trade like this?

CryptoSam

CRCL TTM PE is 1,210 while COINBASE TTM PE is 29. I believe CRCL and COIN have a revenue sharing model where CRCL shared >50% revenue to COIN. Would COIN be a better bet?

Jekatskin

Is it not an interest play, a bit risky with the rates going down in the future?

Hessel Torny

James, with TSLA you say you keep a max 50% of your assets in options, why is that? And is that rule also applicable on the other SLs you do? For example this CRCL trade? And why not? 🙂

Mr_all_in

Yeah COINBASE keeps 100% of the interest income generated from USDC held directly on its platform. • 50% of the residual yield from USDC reserves held off-platform, with the other 50% going to Circle. Coinbase takes 56% profit . CRCL keeps 46% of usdc yield generated

Jetdog

You need a minimum of 100 shares to sell options such as puts

Buddy

i can't believe i was able to fill this with a cr. the puts are incredibly expensive. you can see this clearly on Barchart. click on "Volatility Charts" and see the Puts v Calls widen enormously from Oct of next year onward. Circle literally prints stablecoins, backs them with your $ or Treasuries and pockets 100% of the interest. This is why Tether is the most valuable company in the planet with like 6 employees. USDC will replace Tether in the USA imo

CryptoBong

I will wait and watch. Winds change on a moments notice. Seems we are swaying to the macros. If it goes below $140, a put seller may get those shares assigned anytime before the expiration date.

Grand_Duke_Abigor

CRCL is $86.30 now. THIS may be close to the bottom now, but $150 certainly wasn't. That's OK. I think this will return to ATHs and beyond. Luckily, IA has time on his side.