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Why this BTC Bull Run is different (Patreon)

Published:
2025-08-08 19:17:15
Imported:
2026-06
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so many reasons,,, less impact of halving, ETFs, MSTR, etc...

but this chart tells us a few things

1) we are nowhere near a top - if history repeats...

2) red zone would begin at 180K

3) Perhaps it is an elongated cycle - mentioned this a few times before - ie we run into 2026

4) Perhaps this is like Gold - an 8 year bull run

h/t Vandit for the inspiration.

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Comments

AlphaBet

I just don’t think there is going to be much of a bear cycle if at all this time around.

Good Idea

Either way we go up. Thanks james

Nathy D

I like this chart 😍

Gary

MSTR chart looks like it has a triple bottom

Brent

Is this indicator public? What's it's name?

rkcrypto

Four most dangerous words in investing “This time is different”. 4 year cycles will continue until proven otherwise.

Dave H

BTC will go up in perpetuity while we have a Fiat system. Their will be waves, give people a chance to use the bull bear terms, but will continue to climb. Can't see big sell offs as retail no longer dictate the pace as per previous. I'm keen to see how the OTC desks will fair in the next 6 months.

RudyForest
>>183364825

Maybe. But the mining supply basically becomes almost nothing. So that leaves it susceptible to the four year business cycle which is linked to money supply. If that rolls over on the same schedule then you’ll be right.

mrcanning

Most of the Bitcoin OG's I hear think the 4 year cycle will stay.

NEOS

what indicator is this james ?