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Bull Markets Last 5x Longer Than Bear Markets (Patreon)

Published:
2025-08-23 18:22:42
Imported:
2026-06
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Content

Bull markets outlast bear markets by 5x on average, fueling wealth creation.

Bulls: +254% over 5 years (37% CAGR)

Bears: –31% over 1 year

The miracle of compounding drives long-term growth, making interruptions the greatest threat to wealth.

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Comments

SovereignSats

Global fiat money supply...$112.9 Trillion Gold market cap..................$ 22.7 Trillion Bitcoin market cap..............$ 2.4 Trillion So, Bitcoin is currently only 2% of global fiat M2, and about 1/10th of the gold market cap. When in doubt, back out to gain perspective. Still very early...HODL!

Tearsinrain💧☔️🌇

So based on this model it appears we’re still coming out of a Bear market and thus in relatively early stages of the Bull still ? I wonder how AI. will shift this trend/ pattern.

Quantum Alpha

Any idea about crypto markets? Is it fair to say based on the 4 year cycle (which may or may not be dead) is 1-1.5 year bull, 2.5-3 year bear?

Michael

Are we in a bear now??

Chewie

Pays to be Bullish than Bearish most of the time is my personal experience

BIG_DUMMY

Sssshhh! Don't feed the bears 🧸🐨🐻🐻‍❄️

Grand_Duke_Abigor

Creative Planning sucks. Used them (or rather, they used me) for 5 years. 13% CAGR is what they gave me in a most aggressive mix over that period. I like Charlie Billelo though, he has good insights.

Kynection

Don't forget that 50% down requires 100% up. If you can time it thats worth many x's more