IA Weekly Edge (Sep 29-Oct 3, 2025) (Patreon)

Few quick lessons from this WILD WEEK

1 Use Pullbacks in Uptrends as Buying Opportunities

• Tesla surged 44% in a month before pulling back.

• Pullbacks are normal in strong uptrends and can be used as buy-the-dip opportunities rather than signals of trend reversals.

2 Lilo Model “Level Seven” is Key for Hedging or Taking Profits

• Level 7 frequently aligns with short-term tops, making it a smart place to sell covered calls, trim, or hedge. This is what I did this week. For Tesla, Level 7 at $461 marked the rollover zone, while Level 6 ($400) and Level 5 ($370) are support areas to reload.

3. Mean Reversion Spikes Often Signal Exhaustion

On 4-hour charts, mean reversion spikes above 2.0 (Tesla & Bitcoin examples) tend to precede short-term tops.

Traders can use these as signals to expect consolidation or pullbacks before the trend resumes.

4. Bitcoin Has Room to Run Based on Multiple Models

• Lilo Model: Resistance seen at Level 6, with future targets at $135K (Level 7) and $160K (Level 8).

• Mean Reversion: Still far from overheated, implying continued upside potential.

• TABI Model: Still in “yellow,” with several phases (orange, red) left before exhaustion.

5. Model Confluence Strengthens Signals Across Assets

• ARB Cloud caught MicroStrategy’s bounce perfectly, reinforcing the uptrend.

• IADSS on Solana pinpointed the reversal, with mean reversion still neutral—signaling more upside.

• When multiple models agree (Lilo, ARB, Mean Reversion), conviction in trade setups increases.

6. Profit-Taking Matters: Don’t Overstay at Extreme Levels

• CleanSpark hitting Lilo Level 7 with hot mean reversion triggered trimming, since Levels 9–10 are rare.

• The lesson: when multiple indicators show stretched conditions, it’s wise to lock in gains before momentum fades.

0:00 - Intro

0:05 - TSLA

0:52 - TSLA LILO & Covered Call Hedge

2:50 - BTC

4:18 - MSTR Arb Cloud

4:48 - MSTR/TSLA Optimized Trend Flips Blue

5:28 - SOL IADSS Nails Bottom

6:40 - CLSK

7:20 - CRCL

8:08 - COIN