IA Weekly Nuggets (Oct 3-9, 2025) (Patreon)

Thanks, Josh, for collecting.

1. Bitcoin:

   • Citibank:

   Citibank is bullish , with a 181k base in the next 12 months. ⁠

   • Crypto Investing:

   IA Rules for Smart Crypto Investing

   Always Balance Risk and Reward Every investment carries risk — the key is managing it relative to potential return.

2. Assume 99.9% of Crypto Projects Are Scams or Failures Treat most new coins and tokens as speculative or fraudulent until proven otherwise.

3. Focus on the Majors Invest primarily in established projects with real adoption, strong fundamentals, and proven revenue or utility.

4. Follow the Money and Adoption Choose assets that generate cash flow, have institutional backing, or demonstrate meaningful user growth.

5. Speculate Wisely, Invest Intelligently Small positions in emerging projects are fine — but your core portfolio should be in assets that last through cycles. ⁠

   • Weekly Patterns:

   Tuesday is always a sell-off day. Sunday and Monday are on fire. ⁠

   • Bear Market:

   Due to institutional stacking, every day IA gets a little more bullish there may be no traditional bear market - 42% odds right now per him. If there is no bear, it will be missed. Billions are made in the bear market

6. Tesla:

   • $2k by 2030: $2k by 2030 is super low. He thinkgs it goes a lot higher.

   • V14:

   Musk confirms TSLA FSD v14 is releasing on Monday 10/6. IT RELEASED

   • $600:

   $600 is happening prob early 2026. ⁠

   • Pullbacks:

   The tailwinds far exceed the headwinds. The only ding would be a 40k affordable Model Y - the market will take a poop on TSLA. ⁠ WELL THAT HAPPENED

   • Affordable Model Y:

   If the new model is 35 to 36k we rally!

   • Robotaxi:

   IA doesn’t believe TSLA cares much about cars to be honest. It’s all about ramping the robotaxi. ⁠

   • Multiples:

   Share TSLA multiples with those interested in investing in TSLA. Ask how much ROI they want and calculate from there. ⁠

1. Trading and Investing:

   • Investing Complacency:

   The moment you get complacent in investing is the moment the market rips your face off. Investing isn’t easy - it’s a blood sport. Always respect the market. ⁠

   • SPX:

   SPX is up 36% in 6 months. ⁠

   • Confluence Model:

   IA has notes from 1996 to show the math behind the Confluence Model. It wasn’t until 2022 he had enough data science to make it happen. ⁠

2. Solana:

   • $1000:

   Mert remains bullish, and keeps saying $1000. When compared to ETH, SOL is stupid cheap.

   • Cup and Handle:

   SOL has formed a massive cup and handle since 2022.