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We're approaching a key psychological support level— the $100K line i had a feeling this morning we would hit and we did. The market has tested five times over the past six months, each time bouncing back.

What makes the current setup concerning is that the price has now fallen well below the cloud, a serious crash and the mean reversion of the indicator is showing extremely oversold conditions. So this is unusual.... something out of the ordinary is happening.

Holding the $100,000 level is critical. But with the market dropping $3,000–$4,000 per day, pressure is intensifying.

Unfortunately, there’s no sugar-coating it: if this support breaks, the next targets are likely $95,000 (level 5 on ATR) , and potentially as low as $92,000.

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Blayderunner

Something unusual going on, really? Perhaps what is going on is Daddy needs his own war in Venezuela now that he has not taken complete ownership of Victora Nulands war. How do risk assets perform during a war? And in the middle of a war on fentanyl you can't really have free and fair elections now can you. Term 3 should be fun.

Steve

CME BTC (ticker BTC1!) gap (from a weekend spot move) at 91,650 remains unclosed (from 4/22/25). CME gaps are closed to 90% of the time.