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Content

TLDR

Summary of Core Philosophy:

  • Buy fear, sell greed.

  • Wait for confirmation, not guesses.

  • Respect trend direction and confluence.

  • Keep cash ready for opportunity.

  • Trade with patience and discipline, not emotion.

DETAILS

1. Don’t Jump In Until the Overall Direction Is Up

“I’d rather buy here than over there, even if the price is the same.”

Avoid buying assets that are still dropping — it’s like trying to catch a falling knife.

Wait until you see clear signs of upward momentum (like a trend line turning positive).

Even if you pay the same price later, you’re now riding the wave instead of fighting the fall.

2. Use Extreme Fear as a Buy Signal (Go Against the Crowd)

“Fear and Greed hits 20 for the first time in a while... Usually, when we see super high fear levels, that’s when we should be buying.”

When everyone else is panicking and fear levels are maxed out, that’s often when the market is bottoming out.

Stay calm while others panic — these are the moments to find bargains and position for the recovery.

3. Watch Key Price Floors, But Wait for Proof It’s Bouncing

“Bitcoin... the 100K level is still holding as a floor... We’d want to wait and see it start heading up on the daily chart.”

Key support zones (like Bitcoin’s 100K or 96K levels) act like floors where selling pressure eases.

But don’t buy just because it hit support — look for confirmation like higher highs, higher lows, or a trend flip before entering.

4. Sell a Bit When Things Feel Too Good (Build Up Some Cash)

“When your portfolio is looking awesome and you feel like taking screenshots, that’s probably when you should sell a little.”

When everything looks perfect, take some profits off the table.

Building a cash reserve during periods of greed gives you dry powder to buy when fear returns — a simple but powerful cycle.

5. Check That Shorter and Longer Views Agree

“On the 4-hour chart, it’s turned positive... but the daily chart is still showing a downtrend.”

Always align your timeframes.

Short-term bullish signals (like a 4-hour upturn) are more reliable when the daily trend also confirms upward movement.

This helps avoid false breakouts and improves trade timing for longer, more stable gains.

Files

Previews only

The Weekly Edge - #TAlpha (Nov 3-7, 2025)

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