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Grabby aliens: when we'll meet them, how big they are, and other predictions

In the previous video, we talked about why humanity seems to have appeared very early in the universe: among the first civilizations that could ever appear. Earliness constitutes a riddle. It makes humanity’s situation seem rather mysterious. Robin Hanson, who introduced the idea of the great filter, solves this riddle by postulating that civilizations that he calls “grabby” will soon fill the universe. As anticipated, grabby aliens are the main assumption of a detailed model describing how such aliens expand and distribute in the universe. The model makes many interesting predictions, such as when we’ll meet grabby aliens, our chances of hearing alien messages, and becoming an interplanetary civilization ourselves. It also answers why we don’t see aliens yet, considering the universe’s large number of stars and galaxies. These predictions are the topic of this video. ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀PATREON, MEMBERSHIP, KO-FI▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ 🟠 Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rationalanimations 🔵 Become a member of the channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgqt1RE0k0MIr0LoyJRy2lg/join 🟤 Ko-fi: https://ko-fi.com/rationalanimations ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀SOCIAL & DISCORD▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ Twitter: https://twitter.com/RationalAnimat1 Discord: https://discord.gg/hxWBm6sBNU ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀SOURCES & READINGS▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ Robin Hanson's paper on Grabby Aliens: https://grabbyaliens.com/paper Grabby Aliens website: https://grabbyaliens.com/ The Great Filter - Are We Almost Past It? https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/greatfilter.html ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀OTHER STUFF▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ Share this video with a friend or on Social Media: https://youtu.be/LceY7nhi6j4 Playlist with all the animated videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GgyX-MnRAuY&list=PL1Nr7ps7wyYo-0AOYd6lfKp-6Czh4p5On If you enjoyed this video help others enjoy it by adding captions in your native language: https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/6054623?hl=en&v=XIqJNlV1GpA Bitcoin address: 1FX4iepZfh1yuMNYtvYf2CWL7gha8cakuf Ethereum address: 0xDa8463494Dd233c3aBe59bc42Abc4D50823A5f3 ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀PATREONS▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ BIG thanks to our patrons: Gabriel Fair Bleys Goodson Francisco Lillo Kevin Ma Krishna Penukonda marverati Michael Zimmermann no special person Trevyn Case Noah Corwin Austin Cluff Connor FusionOak Mark Gongloff Marty Betz Matthew Brooks Neel Nanda Perry Jackson rictic Robin Hanson Ryouta Takehiko Yegor Gagarinov ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀MUSIC ATTRIBUTION▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ Dreams Become Real by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-... Artist: http://incompetech.com/ There's Probably No Time by Chris Zabriskie is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Source: http://chriszabriskie.com/uvp/ Artist: http://chriszabriskie.com/ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀NARRATION▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ Narration by Robert Miles: https://www.youtube.com/c/RobertMilesAI ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀CHAPTERS▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ Chapters: 0:00 - Introduction 1:50 - 3D simulation 2:48 - The power law 4:20 - Estimating "k" 5:03 - Estimating "n" 5:37 - Estimating "s" 9:52 - Model predictions 15:02 - SETI and our chance of becoming grabby 18:15 - Wrapping up 19:16 - Patreon & channel membership