Home
Creators
Search Recent Random
Posts
Search DMs Popular Hash Lookup Tags Random
Importer
Import FAQ
Register Favorites Keys Review DMs Logout
Community
Telegram ThePornDude
Home Creators Posts Import Register Favorites Logout

Experts' Predictions about the Future of AI (Patreon)

Published:
2018-03-31 00:03:41
Imported:
2026-06
Tags:
haven't archived this post yet. have a subscription? use the importer!

Content

When will AI systems surpass human performance? I don't know, do you? No you don't. Let's see what 352 AI researchers think.

https://youtu.be/HOJ1NVtlnyQ

Files

Previews only

Experts' Predictions about the Future of AI

When will AI systems surpass human performance? I don't know, do you? No you don't. Let's see what 352 top AI researchers think. The paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1705.08807.pdf The blogpost which has lots of nice data visualisations: https://aiimpacts.org/2016-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/ The Instrumental Convergence video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeecOKBus3Q The Negative Side Effects video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lqJUIqZNzP8 With thanks to my excellent Patrons at https://www.patreon.com/robertskmiles: Jason Hise Steef Jason Strack Chad Jones Stefan Skiles Jordan Medina Manuel Weichselbaum 1RV34 Scott Worley JJ Hepboin Alex Flint James McCuen Richárd Nagyfi Ville Ahlgren Alec Johnson Simon Strandgaard Joshua Richardson Jonatan R Michael Greve The Guru Of Vision Fabrizio Pisani Alexander Hartvig Nielsen Volodymyr David Tjäder Paul Mason Ben Scanlon Julius Brash Mike Bird Tom O'Connor Gunnar Guðvarðarson Shevis Johnson Erik de Bruijn Robin Green Alexei Vasilkov Maksym Taran Laura Olds Jon Halliday Robert Werner Paul Hobbs Jeroen De Dauw Konsta William Hendley DGJono robertvanduursen Scott Stevens Michael Ore Dmitri Afanasjev Brian Sandberg Einar Ueland Marcel Ward Andrew Weir Taylor Smith Ben Archer Scott McCarthy Kabs Kabs Phil Tendayi Mawushe Gabriel Behm Anne Kohlbrenner Jake Fish Bjorn Nyblad Jussi Männistö Mr Fantastic Matanya Loewenthal Wr4thon Dave Tapley Archy de Berker Kevin Vincent Sanders Marc Pauly Andy Kobre Brian Gillespie Martin Wind Peggy Youell Poker Chen Kees Darko Sperac Paul Moffat Noel Kocheril Jelle Langen Lars Scholz

Comments

loopuleasa

Finally some evidence on this matter.

Anonymous

Ray Kurzweil and Elon Musk seem to share the idea that A.I. safety can be solved by brain to machine interfaces, I.E. 'it can't betray us if it IS us'. Is this right or wrong? If I create an AGI, then hook it up to a human so intimately that the bandwidth between them is essentially the same or better as the bandwidth between two individual connected neurons, will it be good by the human definition? What if I hook up all the humans, including myself? Does this solve the problem, or have I just created another 'why don't you just' video for you? Please make a video about this, but only if you really want to/ feel the need to.

robertskmiles
>>11404409

I think the approach is promising and potentially useful, but I don't think the timelines are likely to work out? This is based on a pretty weak understanding of the technology/neurobiology involved, but I'd expect that by the time we have a good enough understanding of how the brain works on the neuron level that we can usefully interface with it, we'll have AGI. Once we have that level of brain understanding we should be able to replicate it. And software just moves much much faster than medical device technology, with the need for so many real world experiments, ethical approval for human testing etc.