【教學影片文字版】Linda Raschke輕教學 Part 32 (Patreon)
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Part 1 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-86069143
Part 2 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/86569484
Part 3 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-86627005
Part 4 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/87180629
Part 5 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/87182519
Part 6 連結: https://www.patreon.com/posts/87822734
Part 7 連結: https://www.patreon.com/posts/87841686
Part 8 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/88374624
Part 9 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/88375026
Part 10 連結: https://www.patreon.com/posts/89707798
Part 11 連結: https://www.patreon.com/posts/89708487
Part 12 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/89708996
Part 13 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/89709914
Part 14連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/89711028
Part 15連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/89711688
Part 16連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/90509660
Part 17 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-90510602
Part 18 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92782930
Part 19 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92790500
Part 20 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92792787
Part 21 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92969777
Part 22 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92971668
Part 23 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92972822
Part 24 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92973760
Part 25 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/92975882
Part 26 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/96647633
Part 27 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/96899137
Part 28 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-96900507
Part 29 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-99444284
Part 30 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-99845296
Part 31 連結:https://www.patreon.com/posts/jiao-xue-ying-zi-100418773
按:本文為2023年12月份金會員教學影片「Linda Raschke 輕教學 PART 7 動能指標 & ADX」的文字版
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繼續介紹3/10 Oscillator的使用方法
當見到動能增加,千萬不要逆勢而行,可把盈利目標設得比平常大。如買入的位置很好,手持盈利「打底」,便不用急著止賺,較適合以Trailing stop(推移止蝕)的方式離場。如以槓桿買入,則可先沽出槓桿部分。參考3/10 Oscillator的慢線方向,可協助判斷,何時「食雞糊」,何時「博大牌」?
最完美的情況是,升勢時股價橫行,10日綫追上股價,股價碰上10日綫後快速再升。
一句到尾,先看慢綫,向上還是向下?之後,快綫是否一頂高過一頂,甚至能創新高?
下圖為疫情時的SPY走勢,2020年2月尾裂口下跌,10日綫與20日綫之間距離不斷拉闊,表示向下動能加速。隊長當時亦有嘗試撈底博反彈,但不成功,事後回望,與如此強勁的動能對抗,多沒有好結果。
到了3月,動能和價格一同見底,同時成交大增,顯示強手大量收貨。其後股價回升,3/10 Oscillator快線升穿慢綫,慢綫之後轉為向上,確認跌勢已完。
下圖為TLT走勢,見到2023年9月至10月持續下跌時,10日與20日綫的距離增加,慢綫向下,顯示價格加速下挫,跌勢強勁,不宜因短期超賣而貿然撈底。最好見到bar overlapping及動量方向改變,才考慮買入。
3/10 Oscillator第二個基本用法是,留意指標與價格的背馳。下圖為TLT見底時的走勢,3/10 Oscillator早於TLT價格見底約20多天。基於Momentum快於價格的原則,指標與價格背馳,是值得留意的訊號,要預備平淡倉甚至反手做好。

下圖為2023年中QQQ圖表,快綫新高早於6月中出現,但價格新高遲至7月,但快綫無再創新高,形成背馳,及後新高只是曇花一現,便回調到20天平均線。
當中線動能越趨轉弱時,據經驗見破新高買入的成功率多會下降,反而應該考慮回調到主要平均線後買入。
(系列未完待續)
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