Current Bet MMA Slate for UFC Vegas 89 (Patreon)
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Hey folks. Likely to have more bets by fight time, but here is an update.Why Johns vs. Gibson Ends via SUB? +750 (BetRivers/Unibet)1) 11/43 (25.6%) fights for Johns & Gibson have ended via SUB historically.2) 5/11 (45.5%) of these fighters combined professional losses have been via SUB.3) The 135lb. average 3RD. ends by SUB rate:-> 2015 to Present: 18.9%-> 2018 to Present: 17.1%-> 2020 to Present: 16.4%-> 2022 to Present: 18.3%-> 2023 to Present: 16.7%At 11.8% Indication, ~5% edge to divisional rate across large data set.4) Sharp market support:-> BOL dropped Gibson SUB +900 to +800-> BOL dropped Johns SUB +1400 to +800-> Super Book holding:---> Johns SUB +900 & Gibson SUB +850-> Circa holding:---> Johns SUB +1600 & Gibson SUB +7955) Johns on short notice, 50% of his ITD losses in the UFC were submissions as he was submitted in third round in previous UFC loss vs. Castaneda.6) Gibson only finish loss in the UFC is via SUB against Manny Gamburyan with a guillotine choke.7) I like the pace of this fight to produce a finish & Gibson said he is going to get in his face & fight like a mad man. That could get him club & subbed or it could break Johns down the stretch.