New Bet for UFC St. Louis (Patreon)

Hey guys! Here is the writeup for my bet:Why Charles Johnson +123 Wynn Bet NY?1) Experience:-> Johnson 7 UFC Bouts (3 Wins) vs. Hadley 4 UFC Bouts (2 Wins)-> Johnson 20 PRO Bouts (14 Wins) vs. Hadley 12 PRO Bouts (10 Wins)2) Stats:JOHNSON STRIKING METRICS---> Johnson +1.3 Differential vs. Hadley +.22 Differential---> Johnson landing 4.4 Sig Strikes / Minute vs. Hadley 3.4 Sig Strikes.---> Johnson absorbs 3.15 Sig Strikes / Minute vs. Hadley 3.2 Sig Strikes.---> Johnson 5+ UFC fights w/ 50+ sig strikes vs. Hadley (1 UFC fight with 50+)JOHNSON WRESTLING METRICS---> Johnson averaging more takedowns / 15 Mins (.48 vs. .32)---> Johnson better takedown defense rate (63% vs. 35%)3) Defensive Responsibility-> Johnson has never been SUB'd or KO'd as a Pro.-> Johnson conceded just one knock down in UFC.-> Johnson has primarily fought grapplers in the UFC and has only been forced to defend 2 registered submission attempts per UFC Stats.4) Local Market Fighter:Charles Johnson describes himself as the "Pride of St. Louis." They will be selling Skullet Gang merch in the crowd, he is connected with fan favorite Joaquin Buckley (cornered each other before), and he is likely to have vocal support that could influence judges in case of a decision. We are getting a highly motivated Charles Johnson coming into this fight.5) Anthropomorphic Advantage:-> Johnson is 2" taller (5'9" vs. 5'7"), reach parity (70")-> Johnson is ~6 years older (33 vs. 27), arguably career best right now.-> Johnson is a Switch Stance Fighter 2-2 vs. Southpaws (Hadley a Southpaw)6) Line crashing on Johnson despite Hadley being more popular on social media, more reported handle being on Handley, and 63% of Tapology voters are picking Hadley to win. I think Johnson has a bad reputation because he dropped the ball in close decisions as a UFC favorite, but now he gets his fourth opportunity as a UFC dog after performing ably in the category, dropping close decisions to Estevam (+138) & Mokaev (+410) while defeating undefeated Azat Maksum (15-0) in his last bout as a +250 underdog. I think this line should be a pick 'em for Johnson at worst.