Recap & Review (Patreon)
Content
Hey guys. Obviously last night was not the event that we were hoping for. With no UFC on the calendar this week, I have no plans of slowing down my work schedule. Here's my goals:1) Reviewing this week's results:
--> I need to develop a scale for specific unit amounts.
--> I've been doing well with underdog positions, but I have also been:-----] Overextended at times (a few too many dog shots)-----] Over betting at times (too heavy on one play or fight)Takeaway:
---> These problems can be understood as essentially crowding out good bets with bad.
---> Need to trust my gut & analysis more; can't let fight week propaganda sway my reads.
2) Bets I would do again:
Bueno Silva via KO: Fine bet at +1500, she landed big shots.
Ian Garry via SUB: Looked -300 R1, really annoying outcome.
Talbott SUB: Should've been .5U, underlying idea was fine.
Vinicius Oliveira ML: Should have slammed this spot, met a lot of criteria.
Hernandez ML: Should've sized down, but still feel it was the right side.
3) Bets I wouldn't do again:
Jiri ML: Doesn't have the tools to win consistently.
Jiri SUB & Ends SUB Angles: Should've been sized down to .25U Cap.
Silva/Jourdain End SUB Should've been FDGTD instead or in addition.
4) Bets I should've had & didn't
Silva/Jourdain FDGTD
Ian Garry ML (close, but he a winner)
Lopes DEC (Ige is impossible to kill)
FDGTD for Chiasson/MBS (no defense for either woman)
Pyfer ITD & FDGTD (MAB durability overrated)
Talbott ITD & Unders (thought it would end early, didn't capitalize)5) Reviewing Long Term
Love where we are at on ROI (17% YTD)
Not loving where we are at on Profit (+24.4U)
My Belief: We can do even better! ❤️📈🚀