First Bet for UFC 306 (Patreon)

Hey folks. I am going to have a portfolio of bets on this fight, but this is way off market to sharp books like BetOnline & Bet365 so I wanted to take advantage and share with you all as early as possible. I have also included my written rationale below & in a screenshot. One thing to add that wasn't in my writeup; fading public perception. People expect WMMA overs, WMMA decisions, and Jauregui has let folks down including myself on finish props in the past. Vast majority of tapology voters are picking her by DEC. But I believe in her prospect upside and Ketlen Souza got her knee destroyed in her debut. I think she can finish in Rd. 1/2/3.First Bet:Yazmin Jauregui Round 1 +950 (Unibet/Rivers)---BetOnline opened this +600, now +500Bet365 is sitting at +600Most books haven't come to market yet, I think Unibet will move.---Why Bet it besides the price?1. The majority of Jauregui's finish wins (5/7 or 71.4%) were in Rd. 12. All of Souza's losses (4/4 or 100%) are inside the distance.3. The majority of Souza's losses (3/4 or 75%) were in Rd. 1.4. Souza's only loss inside the UFC was in round 1.5. At 25 we expect constant improvements from Yazmin. Now a BJJ brown belt, good boxing, decent pop.6. This is going to be a portfolio of bets on Yazmin's finishing upside. Waiting for more books to come to market on other props to compare, but this line I don't expect to last long.