Small loss on the night at #UFCVegas77 (Patreon)
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Hey guys. Sorry we couldn't get the win across the finish line tonight.Bets I liked:
Dumont/Chandler Ends KO +325-> Both Ladies had chances to win by KO, Norma rocked her 20 seconds in.-> Positional TKO's looked more likely than the SUB throughout
Mayra Bueno Silva ML +150-> 10 Years younger & more dangerous at +$. I try to take those every time. Regret not betting it for a larger amount.
Mayra Bueno Silva KO +1500-> Even in a short fight Mayra landed huge body knees, big clinch elbows and power punches. The SUB was always live but betting her TKO prop at huge odds will eventually pay off big IMHO.
Bets I didn't like:
Albert Duraev +135-> ABC's say always bet on cardio. Huge mistake to trust him here against a jabbing pace fighter. Just an overall failure of a read. Should have trusted the market. My intuition lead me astray and I refused to heed the evidence in front of me. I will try to learn from that in the future.
Albert Duraev KO +1050
-> I still like this bet better than the ML because Duraev landed big shots and it fits the theoretical framework of big weight class with wide KO prop. But Duraev not wrestling with urgency in his UFC sample should have kept me off.