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Taking .5U on Josh Culibao ML +125Culibao is 1-0-1 as an underdog in the featherweight division (+111% ROI)

Culibao is 3-0-1 as a UFC featherweight fighter with wins over Baghdasaryan, Sha Yilan, & Seung Woo Choi all solid fighters with more natural athleticism.Culibao is 3-1-1 in the UFC for a 56.5% ROI (per BetMMA.tips)Culibao has a 3:1 KD ratio in 5 UFC fights, Murphy a 1:1 ratio in 5 UFC fights.

Lerone Murphy was in a coma, coming off a controversial SDEC win. Athleticism could be hindered by multiple accidents + 31 years of age.

Lerone Murphy hospitalized after cycling accident: ‘Another near-death experience’ - MMA FightingNarrative Support:

UFC 293 in Sydney, New South Wales (N.S.W.), Australia (9/9/2023)

Culibao is a N.S.W. fighter, quick win could turn him around in Sydney.

Feels like a pick em spot at worst for Culibao. Same size. Culibao is the younger fighter who has been staying more healthy and more active. Culibao more seasoned purple belt in BJJ with more proven success in UFC with his grappling and superior TDD. I like Culibao to make this a dog fight and potentially sneak out a finish.