Bets so Far! #UFCNashville (Patreon)
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Howdy folks! We are up to three tracked bets, all +$. My system bets on fights to end by SUB didn't work out last week, but I have an excellent track record with SUB bets long term so I am going to continue to fire and trust the process. Please feel free to tail for less or pass if you don't feel the same way. I will include the two write ups for the new adds below!Sandhagen vs. Font Ends via SUB:
Sandhagen's fights have seen 10 SUB attempts credited (for and against). Font's fights have seen 7 SUB attempts (for and against).Sandhagen has a submission win over Mario Bautista (good fighter, dominant display)Sandhagen only finish loss in his career via SUB. Never been KO'd. Neither has Rob Font.Club & SUB is live for both fighters.Rob Font has been submitted in the UFC by Pedro Munhoz.Both guys are talented:Sandhagen 3-1 to the SUB prop career (1-1 UFC)Font 4-1 to the SUB prop career (1-1 UFC)Both fighters shown liability to getting taken down as well as aggression in hunting SUBs.No other sportsbook offering over +610. Market average price is +550. Best available price on Sandhagen SUB is +800. This seems like the best balance of EV and outs to a win.Bahamondes vs. Klein Ends via SUB:1) Only SUB win was in the UFC (demonstrates improving grappling)2) 2 SUB losses at welterweight in Rd. 1, looked like a zero on bottom. No bottom footage since.3) Klein has been submitted in the UFC. Cardio dynamic favors him potentially gassing late.4. Klein hasn't showed off his submission prowess in the UFC but he has an 8-2 record to the SUB prop in his fights so he could always try to break that out against a bigger, talented striker in Bahamondes. Bahamondes is 1-2 career to the SUB prop.5. Both fighters are young and liable to make critical mistakes. Club and sub live for both fighters, cardio dump somewhat live for both fighters (Bahamondes difficult weight cut), and either man could try to mix in takedowns.