UFC Nashville Recap (Patreon)
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2 Poor Events in a row. Really sorry for the poor results folks. I can tell you with 100% certainty I gave my best and simply came up short this week. I still believe in my reads, my process, and my strategy. Let's recap the bets and see what went wrong and what went right:The money lines were a disgrace this week and the real source of frustration for me. I don't want to just limit myself to prop bets, but that's where my reads were strongest this week. I would have been better served to lean into the strong leans and not try to force ML's just for the sake of diversifitcation.- Camur was out too long. I want to bet on active fighters, more proven.- Osbourne too unreliable with his gas. ABC's say always bet on cardio.- Buzukja short notice, brutal weight cut, too many unknowns + anthropomorphic disadvantages.As for the props:- Think the round props will pay for themselves over time if I pick my spot and continue to fire small bets with discipline (I.E. .1U bets on valuable round props +1000 and higher)- The ends by SUB props have been teasing us and just not cashing. That can't last IMHO. We saw plenty of SUBs and near SUBs tonight, just couldn't seal the deal. Any one of these SUB props cashing could change our fortunes significantly.- I still think the Suarez KO bet was just fine, but I should have had a sizeable ITD bet as well to ensure I would profit no matter what finish took place. Lesson learned there.- I really think in a lot of iterations we cash 1 or more of: Quarantillo Rd. 3, Ends SUB (Klein/Bahamondes) & Ends SUB (Sandhagen/Font). Just needed some luck we didn't get.After tonight's results:+126.3U Lifetime to Date (8% ROI) | 8% ROI Straights & 6% ROI PropsNext Up for Patreon?Tape Studies for DWCS (early access on Patreon)Tape Studies for next week's event will start rolling in.