UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. RDA Gut Leans (Patreon)
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RDA vs. Vicente Luque:Lean: Luque (+105) & Under 4.5 (-145)- Luque big red flag in the form of a brain bleed vs. Geoff Neal.- Luque a BJJ black belt with all anthro advantages: 3" height, 6" reach, 7 years younger.
Cub Swanson vs. Hakeem Dawodu:Lean: Dawodu (-225) & Dawodu ITD (+150)- Cub Swanson damn near 40 years old at FWT (probably KO'd - over 38)- Mean Hakeem capable of blowing DEC's on TD's, striking stats are solid.
Khalil Rountree vs. Chris Daukaus:Lean: Daukaus +162- Super tricky fight. Khalil momentum, 3 fight winning streak, suspect wrestling.- Daukaus frmr. HWT, now 205lb. Good hand speed, potential grappling upside.Polyana Viana vs. Iasmin Lucindo:Lean: Lucindo -190 & Under 2.5 Rounds (+150)- Lucindo started MMA very young, lost a few fights by SUB to quality opps.- Viana only one finish loss (via Armbar), 0-4 in DEC's (5/8 UFC fights end Rd. 1)Tafon Nchukwi vs. AJ Dobson:Lean: Tafon Nchukwi -140- Tafon two losses to dangerous strikers (Ulberg & Murzakonov), better process- Dobson a physical freak, live to KO, don't trust his grappling or cardio.Josh Fremd vs. Jamie Pickett:Lean: Fremd (Dog or Pass Money Line Pricing)- Jamie Pickett is no prize but he is a BJJ brown belt, UFC experience, well built- Fremd not a grappling ace, been KO'd, outwrestled and submitted.Marcus McGhee vs. JP Buys:Lean: JP Buys +300 (Dog or Pass Money Line Pricing) & Under 1.5 (-135)- Buys 8/14 fights ended in Rd. 1 (57%) & 10/14 (71.4%) ended in Rd. 1 or 2.- McGhee 3/8 (38%) fights ended Rd. 1 & 6/8 (75%) fights ended in Rd. 1 or 2- Buys sneaky back take, good grappling, HORRIBLE chin. McGhee mad man.Terrance McKinney vs. Mike Breeden:Lean: McKinney (Not laying -270 or McKinney ITD -200 lol)- McKinney starts hot, big power, wrestling upside; CARDIO RED FLAG.- Breeden 2 KO1 losses, poor record in DECs, seems like cannon fodder.Francis Marshall vs. Isaac Dulgarian:Lean: Not enough info to decide. Have to study here.Martin Buday vs. Josh Parisian:Lean: Martin Buday (-205; ML too rich for my blood on low level HWTs)- I think Parisian sucks at MMA tbh. Tough guy though.- Buday no prize; huge HWT, cage push PTV, younger, more marketable IMO.Montserrat Ruiz vs. Jaqueline Amorim:Lean: Jacqueline Amorim (-238; Price Prohibitive, all Rd. 1 Wins)- I think Amorim has high level skills, elite grappling. Cardio isn't great, but that also could've been an adrenaline dump / UFC jitters.- Ruiz is a tough girl, not too much skill. Could win an extended fight I suppose.No opinions worth giving on the first two fights until I do more due diligence! Hope you guys find this helpful. Let me know if you have any questions, comments, concerns. If I make any of these official bets ya'll will be first to know!