Plays I Am Strongly Considering (Patreon)

.85U JP Buys +300 (BetMGM) - Buys much better record at 135lb., potential parlay buster / recency bias. His chin is bad but he tends to be a round one submission / TKO on the mat fighter. At 135lb. he has finished fights as late as round four in regional title fights. Back to back camps with Albazi and Aljamain Sterling to prepare for this fight. Back against the wall, job on the line..65U Mike Breeden +225 (Multi) - ABC's say always bet on Cardio. McKinney lost less than a month ago. Seems like a get right spot in terms of athletic advantage but hard to imagine he made many improvements for this camp. Breeden back against the wall, job on the line..2U Amorim KO +1600 (BetRivers) - Amorim has one of the fastest KO's in LFA history over Megan Owen (:10) and Conejo has been KO'd within the first minute in her last fight (granted it was against title challenger Amanda Lemos) and brutally ground and pounded to end the second round against Cheyanne Buys a much worse grappler than Amorim. SUB is most likely but chalk SUB props are normally greasy and the KO and positional TKO are live in this fight. Conejo never been submitted in pro MMA. Debating the finish props overall. Amorim should have massive grappling advantage while fresh and Conejo wrestling style gives up really awful positions. NO defense standing on tape.