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.25U Ian Garry SUB2 +2100 (FanDuel).25U Ian Garry SUB3 +3800 (FanDuel).5U Ian Garry SUB +650 (BetRivers)Waiting for Best Fight Ends by SUB Price to Finalize this Position.Stackable Hedge: If Magny wins by SUB, we get our money back. If Garry wins by SUB, even better.Waiting on Wynn Bet to come to market with Props for this fight (they usually do a poor job). I will be taking some additional equity on either the ends by SUB or the Garry SUB prop depending on what the market #'s end up looking like.Matchup: Garry has yet to attempt a SUB in the UFC, but Magny is a submittable opponent with noodle limbs, a long ass neck, and a mediocre ground game. Garry is 2-0 career to the SUB prop and has yet to notch a submission win in the UFC. Magny is a salty 4-6 career to the SUB prop with 3 of his last 5 losses coming by way of submission. Two of Garry's teammates and training patners in Shavkat & Gilbert Burns have submitted Neil Magny as well and in two radically different ways. Magny has given up rear naked chokes, arm triangle chokes, and front head lock variations throughout his career. Garry has the long limbs to match Magny and threaten him with chokes from all positions. Magny forces fights into the clinch so unlike other Garry fights where he dictated range he may be forced to grapple by Magny in this fight. Magny is coming in on short notice and he has been submitted in the second round on multiple occasions. Typically first round SUBS against Magny are power wrestlers getting head and arm chokes. I think Garry will be more patient and cerebral, picking his shots, hurting Magny and eventually submitting him down the stretch. 

Narrative: His most recent camp has been spent in Brazil training alongside the Chute Boxe Diego Lima fighters like Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira. Garry is highlighting his connection to the Brazilian people in the lead up to this fight and there is a massive Brazilian contingency in Boston. Garry could try to honor them by mixing in his grappling.Market:BetOnline is currently holding SUB2 (+750) = 11.8% ImpliedBetRivers is currently holding SUB2 (+1800) = 5.3% ImpliedFanDuel #'s I am betting for SUB2 (+2100) = 4.6% ImpliedBetOnline is currently holding SUB3 (+1400) = 6.7% ImpliedBetRivers is currently holding SUB3 (+3000) = 3.2% ImpliedFanDuel #'s I am betting for SUB3 (+3800) = 2.6% ImpliedBetOnline is currently holding Garry SUB (+300) = 25% Implied - Opened +600Draftkings is currently holding Garry SUB (+550) = 15.4% Implied - Opened +650FanDuel is currently holding Garry SUB (+600) = 14.3% ImpliedBetRivers is currently holding Garry SUB (+650) = 13.3% Implied