Updated UFC 292 Slate (Patreon)

What we have and why?Ian Garry1.5U ITD @ -135.5U SUB @ +650.25U SUB2 @ +2100.25U SUB# @+3800Weili Zhang1U Ends by SUB +430.5U Weili SUB +600Natalia Silva vs. Andrea Lee.5U Fight Ends by SUB+360Market:+EV to the market avg (+341 - books I respect +330 and lower)Silva SUB is down to +400 on BetOnline, Lee SUB has been hit down on some domestics.Matchup:12-3 combined record to SUB. Aside from Silva's debut, neither woman stopped with strikes. Only finish losses for either woman since 2015 was via SUB.Lee has one finish win in the UFC via SUB.Silva was on a two fight SUB streak prior to making her UFC debut.Andre Petroski vs. GM3.5U Fight Ends by KO +320Market:Significantly +EV to the market avg. (+251) - Identified Edge of nearly 5% EV. That being said, GM3 is a fighter who priortizes the SUB so I didn't want to overexpose here.Matchup: GM3 been KO'd in 3 of his last 4 UFC losses. GM3 1-4 to the KO prop in the UFC and 6-4 to the KO prop overall as a professional. Petroski won via TKO in his UFC debut and hasn't done so again since, giving us a discount on the ends KO in this spot. GM3 has powerful strikes that could hurt Petroski, but he is more likely to be on the receiving end of a KO/TKO because of his poor take down defense and his suspect chin.