UFC 293 Main & Co-Main Quick Jot (Patreon)

Main Event:- Dog or pass money line pricing; +480 on Strickland is a bit wide- Lean towards the FDGTD -138 OR U4.5 -120 for a 5 Rd. 185lb. Fight - Two Primary Strikers-------- Strickland potential to introduce wrestling/grappling. Both men KO potential.Prop Scan: Strickland ITD +750 | SUB +2800 | Rd. 5 +5000Adesanya ITD -105 | Rd. 1 +600 | Rd. 2 +700

Co Main-Event:- Dog or pass money line pricing; +207 at HWT for the younger, bigger hitter.- Tuivasa is smaller and on a 2-fight skid but more star potential, KO threat, marginal DEC equity.- Tuivasa losses are to top HWT's, good wins, more long term upside. Fresher than Volkov.- Volkov inconsistent fighter. Lost as a favorite vs. Derrick Lewis via KO3 (in a fight he was winning)KO'd fat, no camp Romanov (1-2 in L3) & undersized Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-4 in L6)Quit in Rd. 1 vs. Aspinall, looked like shit. Looked slow, weathered. New father.Volkov already 10-4 in the UFC, 46 pro fights overall. Tai only 8-5 in UFC, 20 pro fights (FRESHER)Volkov despite his skill is hittable (per UFC stats absorbs 3 sig strikes per min, 2 KD absorbed)Tuivasa 7KO's in 8 UFC wins, 5 in Rd. 1, 2 in Rd. 2, 1 DEC win vs. Arlovski.Prop Scan:Tuivasa ITD +275 | DEC +1150 | Tuivasa Rd. 1 +550 | Rd. 2 +900 | Rd. 3 +1900Volkov ITD -115 | Volkov SUB +1400I reckon this fight ends ITD but don't love the price or the U1.5.Fight Doesn't Start Rd. 3 could be interesting.These are my initial impressions scanning the market. Going to revisit some tape, continue my due diligence and see if anything changes! Stay tuned for more resources & updates throughout the day!