Losing Night at #UFC293 (Patreon)
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Really upset & disappointed with my bets tonight. My totals reads started really strong but the only bet I made official on the prelims crashed. Then Kape/Dos Santos banged it out on the feet and Tuivasa gave an honest account on the feet but the size/grappling liability came into focus. Only bet left is main event FDGTD but no matter what we are taking an L on this slate. I really tried to keep it tight and make smart bets tonight but I came up short. Not going to make any excuses, just going to recap quick and get right back to work:What I am happy about?We beat the lines on almost every play.What I am not happy about?We didn't cash the bets we took and we passed on some winners that showed EV value.Kape SUB +900 - Beat the line by a lot but the grappling just wasn't as present as I would have liked to see.Tuivasa ML +205 - Competed well on the feet and checked a lot of boxes for me but should have been .5U or less in risk because of Tai's whole on the mat.Under 2.5 Radtke/Diamond - Refereeing & general incompetence killed this bet but it was too chalky. Should've taken one of the less chalky options I liked instead or passed on the totals.Main Event FDGTD at -143 - Will revisit after the fight with ThoughtsPlease make sure you utilize all the resources as we had tons of sharp bets highlighted tonight but I just selected the wrong ones to make official. Right back to work for me. Win or lose I am never satisfied but I am now extremely fired up for DWCS and UFC Noche next week.