Small Losing Night at #UFCNoche (Patreon)

Hey guys, gutted that we lost on the tracked bets. I really tried to construct a sound slate tonight but the one bet I hesitated on the most ended up costing us the winning night. I have attached my tracked third party results and my recap of picks/predictions for Rotogrinders. Let's recap each bet and see which were good bets we would make again and which we would trash.The Good?1U Tracy Cortez ML (should've size up here, albeit slightly)1U Loopy Godinez ITD +150 (should've sized up more here, significantly. Total mismatch/setup).33U Knutsson / Mann Ends via SUB +750 (system bet, if anything drop to .25U exposure)The Bad?.72U Knutsson / Mann Ends ITD +106 (square bet, shouldn't take that low of +$ for a WMMA prop with two low level fighters. Forced that bet).5U Cortez ITD +600 (contrarian, I think if she wrestled proactively it would've materialized but she was still cracking JJ on the feet so I don't hate it. If I had it back, I would go .25U)The Ugly?1.38U Rosas Jr. / Mitchell Ends SUB - Square bet all the way around. No longer thinking about EV as a primary consideration. I am just thinking about winning bets, getting bets with value to my own personal numbers, and trying to read the market to avoid land mines. No longer getting sucked in to chalky trap lines. All the stats, tape, etc. said Rosas preferences grappling but the market showed strength to the KO and I should've trusted that. Lesson learned.