UFC Vegas 80 is a BIG Win! (Patreon)

When you're betting huge +$, you only need a few things to go right to have a great night. I am fiendishly exhausted so it will be a quick recap:1U Demopoulos +270 (27% implied win probability).5U Demopoulos +300 (25% implied win probability)Result: Demopoulos wins via UDEC - Super close but I thought Vanessa did the more effective damage in Rd. 1 and Rd. 2 but I had a drink with my lady so I'll rewatch with sober eyes and see if my mind changes. In any case, a SDEC loss would be justifiable in this odds range. The fact it was unanimous felt like validation. Commentators brought up a lot of the points in my analysis on comms; Demo dedicated training in Vegas, BJJ black belt, working with her instructor that gave her a black belt, training with wrestlers at XC, etc. I think long term without a size advantage or functional finishing upside its got to be dog or pass..5U Pyfer via SUB +600 (14.3% implied win probability)Result: Joe Pyfer wins via SUB2 (as predicted in my full card breakdown)Aside from the calf kicks appearing to bother him Pyfer looked excellent in this fight picking his shots, horsing takedowns and attacking the SUB with conviction. Successfully predicted the first man to submit Abdul Razak Al Hassan in 18 professional MMA bouts. Simple Message: BET LIKE JOE PYFER!Whiffs?Belbita/KK Ends SUB  +475 - Looked promising for one exchange in Rd. 1, then nothing.Dawson via KO +500 - Lol right method, wrong winner. Salute Green backers.Demopolous via SUB +750 - Murata improved SUB D didn't translate to effective top game.