4 Official Bets So Far @ UFC Sao Paulo + UFC 295 (Patreon)

Why Dalby +460?

This could be a donation, but I simply think the number is too wide based on knowns.

Ismael (his brother) fight canceled from the card, weird circumstances.

Bonfim never been to DEC, 15/15 wins ITD & 12/15 wins SUB

Dalby has never been finished in 25+ pro bouts, his only finish loss being a club & sub overturned to a no contest

Dalby = 2-0 in Brazil in the UFC, and he is 4-1-1 as an underdog with an 81% ROI

Why Zaleski +340?

EZ Dos is a high level striker, a BJJ black belt, popular Brazilian talent

EZ Dos an incredible 10-3 in the octagon, 2/3 losses via SDEC.

Win via KO1 over the current UFC middleweight champion Sean Strickland

Zaleski's losses = TKO3 vs Leech (ranked WW in China) & 2 close SDECs vs Salikhov & Nicolas Dalby (Zaleski's UFC debut)

I think EZ Dos can make this a close fight and the number doesn't reflect his talent and consistent results.

Why Hill/Gomes Ends SUB +1000?

Hill is 0-2 career to the SUB but she has gotten way better offensively over her career

Gomes is 0-0 career to the SUB but she has attempted 1.2 SUBs / 15 minutes in the octagon

Gomes is a BJJ brown belt, trains with Karol Rosa, another bigger UFC fighter

Hill trains with Jena Bishop, J Flo Judo, lots of legit grapplers in San Diego

think either girl could make a critical error on the mat (Hill has done is multiple times, 10 more seconds vs. Dern in Rd. 1 and she loses via armbar)

Gomes was in all sorts of trouble and giving up easy TDs against Loma Lookboonmee a few fights ago

If we zoom out:UFC ends SUB rate is 18% for all fights (implied = +456)UFC Women's ends SUB rate is 19.1% for all WMMA Fights (implied = +424)UFC 115lb. ends SUB rate is 19.8% for all WMMA 115lb. Fights (implied = +405)Our Odds = Ends SUB +1000 (implied = 9.1%)