4 Bets for UFC Vegas 83 (Patreon)
Content
4 bets, 4 Longshot props! Let's discuss 👇.35U Andre Muniz KO +1600 - FanDuel.15U Muniz KO1 +3400 - FanDuel-.5U Tatsuro Taira KO +750 - FanDuel-.5U Song Yadong SUB +1150 - BetRivers-Muniz has never been higher than 12-1 to win by KO in his UFC career. I faded Park last time with Duraev at a similar money line price and I had shares of Duraev KO at 10-1. Duraev is more similar in size to Park whereas Muniz will be massive and have a substantial height/reach advantage. Muniz has 4 wins by KO and Park has been stung on the feet on multiple occasions. Middleweight invites some inherent volatility.-Tatsuro Taiara is -5xx to win & -140 ITD so this KO seems relatively wide. Moreover, Taira has excellent ground and pound elbows and he has recorded a KD in the UFC so I think his power is being underrated / underappreciated. Also a market outlier compared to sharp books. -Song Yadong is strong, powerful, and sneaky fast. He has takedowns and opportunistic back takes in his repertoire and Gutierrez has been 10-8'd in the grappling before by FLY Cody Durden. Gutierrez cardio over 5 rounds is a question mark but Yadong more experience in longer fights. I think club/SUB is live here.