New Bet for UFC 298 (Patreon)
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Hey guys, I normally don't attack bets this early but this is a rare instance of market wide availability for a fight that is in February.Why 1.3U Ilia Topuria ML @ +154 (FanDuel) & 1.2U @ +125 (Caesars)Simple rationale for me.
Volk is 35 years old (age regression)
Volk was KO'd Brutally on 10/21/2023
Volk is at virtual size parity (no clear edge)
Topuria is ~9 years younger (26 vs. 35)
Topuria 1-0 as a dog for a 164% ROI
Topuria confident, marketable, well-rounded.
UFC preference is Topuria IMHO*Multi-Demographic, Multi-Lingual Speaker*Volk is a fan favorite, so he will take action in the betting market. That being said, I expect respected money to hit the Topuria side and I would not be surprised if this fight close +120 or below on Topuria. There is a non-zero chance this line flips before fight time given the age & recent form of the challenger.Grappling: Edge Topuria (Better SUBs)Wrestling: Edge Topuria (Better TD offense)Striking Technique: Edge Volk (Better Leg Kicks)Punching Power: Edge TopuriaHand Speed: Edge TopuriaDurability: Edge TopuriaHunger/Motivation: Edge TopuriaCardio: Pure Speculation (Volk slight edge)Marketability: Edge Topuria